The CFP race

8Georgia4–173%

First round · at the 8 seed

9Texas Tech5–042%

→

1Ohio State5–0100%

Quarterfinal · vs winner of 8/9

5Indiana5–0>99%

First round · at the 5 seed

12Memphis6–048%

→

4Miami5–0>99%

Quarterfinal · vs winner of 5/12

6Alabama4–195%

First round · at the 6 seed

11Notre Dame3–284%

→

3Ole Miss5–0>99%

Quarterfinal · vs winner of 6/11

7Texas A&M5–086%

First round · at the 7 seed

10Oklahoma5–073%

→

2Oregon5–0>99%

Quarterfinal · vs winner of 7/10

#16Notre Dame3–2 · FBS Independents▲ +24pp84%

#10Georgia4–1 · SEC▲ +16pp73%

#6Oklahoma5–0 · SEC▲ +18pp73%

#23Memphis6–0 · American Athletic▲ +12pp48%

#9Texas Tech5–0 · Big 12▲ +16pp42%

#21Arizona State4–1 · Big 12▼ −1pp21%

Boise State3–2 · Mountain West▼ −3pp17%

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7).