#5Texas A&M Aggies

5–0 · 2–0 SEC

In the books

WEEK 7 · 2025

The Week 7 recap

Texas A&M beat Florida. Playoff odds moved from 57% to 64%.

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ESPN

playoff chanceEntering57%Win63%Loss38%

Florida

Florida 25%Texas A&M 75%

Texas A&M

Final · Florida 17–34 Texas A&MWish granted ✓

By impactBy kickoff

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Peacock

Impact 1

Rooted for

NC State

at

Notre Dame

Final · NC State 7–36 Notre DameWent the other way ✗

Projected 5.7-point playoff boost

Notre Dame won instead, so Texas A&M did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection62% if NC State won57% with the other result5.7-point differenceTexas A&M playoff chance

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ABC

Impact 2

Georgia

at

Rooted for

Auburn

Final · Georgia 20–10 AuburnWent the other way ✗

Projected 4.2-point title-game boost

Georgia won instead, so Texas A&M did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection12% if Auburn won8% with the other result4.2-point differenceTexas A&M SEC title-game chance

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SEC Network

Impact 3

Rooted for

Arkansas

at

Tennessee

Final · Arkansas 31–34 TennesseeWent the other way ✗

Projected 2.6-point playoff boost

Tennessee won instead, so Texas A&M did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection59% if Arkansas won56% with the other result2.6-point differenceTexas A&M playoff chance

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ABC

Impact 4

Oklahoma

at

Rooted for

Texas

Final · Oklahoma 6–23 TexasWish granted ✓

Projected 2.5-point playoff boost

Texas won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 14 game against Texas A&M.

Entering-week projection57% if Texas won55% with the other result2.5-point differenceTexas A&M playoff chance

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ABC

Impact 5

Alabama

at

Rooted for

Missouri

Final · Alabama 27–24 MissouriWent the other way ✗

Projected 2.7-point title-game boost

Alabama won instead, so Texas A&M did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection10% if Missouri won8% with the other result2.7-point differenceTexas A&M SEC title-game chance

50 other games had little impact

Ohio State at Illinois · FOX

Kansas at Texas Tech · FOX

Missouri State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2

Liberty at UTEP · CBSSN

Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State · ESPNU

East Carolina at Tulane · ESPN

Jacksonville State at Sam Houston · CBSSN

Southern Miss at Georgia Southern · ESPN2

South Florida at North Texas · ESPN2

Rutgers at Washington · FS1

Fresno State at Colorado State · CBSSN

UCLA at Michigan State · BTN

Pittsburgh at Florida State · ESPN

Stanford at SMU · The CW Network

UCF at Cincinnati · FS1

Houston at Oklahoma State · TNT

Louisiana at James Madison · ESPN2

Charlotte at Army · CBSSN

Miami (OH) at Akron · ESPN+

Toledo at Bowling Green · ESPNU

Washington State at Ole Miss · SEC Network

Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+

Massachusetts at Kent State · ESPN+

Northwestern at Penn State · FS1

Nebraska at Maryland · BTN

Indiana at Oregon · CBS

Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech · ACC Network

Wake Forest at Oregon State · The CW Network

Iowa State at Colorado · ESPN

TCU at Kansas State · FOX

Air Force at UNLV · CBSSN

App State at Georgia State · ESPN+

Old Dominion at Marshall · ESPN+

Ball State at Western Michigan · ESPN+

Navy at Temple · ESPN2

UAB at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+

Iowa at Wisconsin · FS1

San José State at Wyoming · CBSSN

UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+

Purdue at Minnesota · BTN

Michigan at USC · NBC

Clemson at Boston College · ACC Network

Rice at UTSA · ESPNU

South Carolina at LSU · SEC Network

BYU at Arizona · ESPN2

Troy at Texas State · ESPN+

New Mexico at Boise State · FS1

Arizona State at Utah · ESPN

San Diego State at Nevada · CBSSN

Utah State at Hawai'i

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.