#3Texas A&M Aggies

11–0 · 7–0 SEC

In the books

WEEK 14 · 2025

The Week 14 recap

Texas A&M lost to Texas. Playoff odds moved from >99% to 62%.

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ABC

SEC title-game chanceEntering42%Win100%Loss2%

Texas A&M

Texas A&M 41%Texas 59%

Texas

Final · Texas A&M 17–27 TexasWent the other way ✗

By impactBy kickoff

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ABC

Impact 1

Ole Miss

at

Rooted for

Mississippi State

Final · Ole Miss 38–19 Mississippi StateWent the other way ✗

Projected 13.9-point title-game boost

Ole Miss won instead, so Texas A&M did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection55% if Mississippi State won41% with the other result14-point differenceTexas A&M SEC title-game chance

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ESPN

Impact 2

Texas Tech

at

Rooted for

West Virginia

Final · Texas Tech 49–0 West VirginiaWent the other way ✗

Projected 10.8-point first-round-bye boost

Texas Tech won instead, so Texas A&M did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection77% if West Virginia won66% with the other result11-point differenceTexas A&M first-round bye chance

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ABC

Impact 3

Georgia

at

Rooted for

Georgia Tech

Final · Georgia 16–9 Georgia TechWent the other way ✗

Projected 7.5-point first-round-bye boost

Georgia won instead, so Texas A&M did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection74% if Georgia Tech won66% with the other result7.5-point differenceTexas A&M first-round bye chance

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ABC

Impact 4

Alabama

at

Rooted for

Auburn

Final · Alabama 27–20 AuburnWent the other way ✗

Projected 6.3-point title-game boost

Alabama won instead, so Texas A&M did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection47% if Auburn won41% with the other result6.3-point differenceTexas A&M SEC title-game chance

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NBC

Impact 5

Indiana

at

Rooted for

Purdue

Final · Indiana 56–3 PurdueWent the other way ✗

Projected 4.9-point first-round-bye boost

Indiana won instead, so Texas A&M did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection71% if Purdue won67% with the other result4.9-point differenceTexas A&M first-round bye chance

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CBS

Impact 6

Oregon

at

Rooted for

Washington

Final · Oregon 26–14 WashingtonWent the other way ✗

Projected 2.9-point first-round-bye boost

Oregon won instead, so Texas A&M did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection69% if Washington won66% with the other result2.9-point differenceTexas A&M first-round bye chance

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ESPN

Impact 7

Rooted for

Temple

at

North Texas

Final · Temple 25–52 North TexasWent the other way ✗

Projected 2.8-point first-round-bye boost

North Texas won instead, so Texas A&M did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection69% if Temple won66% with the other result2.8-point differenceTexas A&M first-round bye chance

59 other games had little impact

Boise State at Utah State · CBS

Bowling Green at Massachusetts · ESPNU

Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan · ESPN2

Navy at Memphis · ESPN

Iowa at Nebraska · CBS

Utah at Kansas · ESPN

Ohio at Buffalo · ESPNU

Kent State at Northern Illinois · CBSSN

Air Force at Colorado State · FS1

San Diego State at New Mexico · CBSSN

Arizona at Arizona State · FOX

Kentucky at Louisville · ACC Network

Clemson at South Carolina · SEC Network

Ohio State at Michigan · FOX

Miami at Pittsburgh · ABC

Houston at Baylor · TNT

Colorado at Kansas State · FS1

Iowa State at Oklahoma State · ESPNU

East Carolina at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+

Toledo at Central Michigan · ESPN+

Ball State at Miami (OH) · CBSSN

UCF at BYU · ESPN2

UTEP at Delaware · ESPN+

Florida International at Sam Houston · ESPN+

Georgia Southern at Marshall · ESPN+

Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State · ESPN+

Louisiana Tech at Missouri State · ESPN+

Georgia State at Old Dominion · ESPN+

Arkansas State at App State · ESPN+

Boston College at Syracuse · The CW Network

Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State · ESPN+

UL Monroe at Louisiana · ESPN+

South Alabama at Texas State · ESPN+

UAB at Tulsa · ESPN+

Missouri at Arkansas · SEC Network

LSU at Oklahoma · ABC

Vanderbilt at Tennessee · ESPN

Wisconsin at Minnesota · FS1

Penn State at Rutgers · BTN

Wake Forest at Duke · ACC Network

Cincinnati at TCU · FOX

Kennesaw State at Liberty · CBSSN

Troy at Southern Miss · ESPN+

Army at UTSA · ESPN+

James Madison at Coastal Carolina · ESPNU

Florida State at Florida · ESPN2

Oregon State at Washington State · The CW Network

Maryland at Michigan State · FS1

Virginia Tech at Virginia · ESPN

Rice at South Florida · ESPN+

UCLA at USC · NBC

Northwestern at Illinois · FOX

North Carolina at NC State · ACC Network

Charlotte at Tulane · ESPNU

SMU at California · ESPN2

UNLV at Nevada · CBSSN

Notre Dame at Stanford · ESPN

Fresno State at San José State · FS1

Wyoming at Hawai'i

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 14, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 14). How the model works.