๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#4Texas A&M Aggies

6โ€“0 ยท 3โ€“0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 8 ยท 2025
The Week 8 recap

Texas A&M beat Arkansas. Playoff odds moved from 64% to 78%.

Your game

Texas A&M at Arkansas
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playoff chanceEntering64%Win72%Loss47%
Texas A&M
Texas A&M 65%Arkansas 35%
Arkansas
Final ยท Texas A&M 45โ€“42 ArkansasWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Texas A&M wanted
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Impact 1
Oklahoma
at
Rooted for
South Carolina
Final ยท Oklahoma 26โ€“7 South CarolinaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.5-point playoff boost

Oklahoma won instead, so Texas A&M did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection65% if South Carolina won62% with the other result3.5-point differenceTexas A&M playoff chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
USC
at
Notre Dame
Final ยท USC 24โ€“34 Notre DameWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.5-point playoff boost

Notre Dame won instead, so Texas A&M did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection66% if USC won63% with the other result2.5-point differenceTexas A&M playoff chance
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Impact 3
Texas Tech
at
Rooted for
Arizona State
Final ยท Texas Tech 22โ€“26 Arizona StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.6-point playoff boost

Arizona State won, thinning out the at-large competition for Texas A&M's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection65% if Arizona State won63% with the other result1.6-point differenceTexas A&M playoff chance
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Impact 4
Rooted for
LSU
at
Vanderbilt
Final ยท LSU 24โ€“31 VanderbiltWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.5-point playoff boost

Vanderbilt won instead, so Texas A&M did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection64% if LSU won63% with the other result1.5-point differenceTexas A&M playoff chance
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Impact 5
Rooted for
Louisville
at
Miami
Final ยท Louisville 24โ€“21 MiamiWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.8-point first-round-bye boost

Louisville won, helping protect Texas A&M's path to a top-four seed and first-round bye.

Entering-week projection20% if Louisville won17% with the other result2.8-point differenceTexas A&M first-round bye chance
53 other games had little impact
Oregon at Rutgers ยท BTN
Missouri at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Tennessee at Alabama ยท ABC
Army at Tulane ยท ESPNU
New Mexico State at Liberty ยท CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama ยท ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky ยท ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State ยท ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina ยท ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota ยท FOX
San Josรฉ State at Utah State ยท CBSSN
North Carolina at California ยท ESPN
Washington at Michigan ยท FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke ยท ESPN
UConn at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Arizona at Houston ยท FS1
Baylor at TCU ยท ESPN2
Central Michigan at Bowling Green ยท CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
West Virginia at UCF ยท TNT
Kent State at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern ยท BTN
Troy at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
Ole Miss at Georgia ยท ABC
Ohio State at Wisconsin ยท CBS
Michigan State at Indiana ยท Peacock
SMU at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force ยท CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State ยท FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison ยท ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas ยท ESPN+
Akron at Ball State ยท ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio ยท ESPN+
Memphis at UAB ยท ESPN2
Mississippi State at Florida ยท SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Washington State at Virginia ยท The CW Network
Texas at Kentucky ยท ESPN
Penn State at Iowa ยท Peacock
Maryland at UCLA ยท FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
Pittsburgh at Syracuse ยท ACC Network
Florida Atlantic at South Florida ยท ESPNU
Utah at BYU ยท FOX
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State ยท ESPN2
Nevada at New Mexico ยท FS1
Florida State at Stanford ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:Texas A&M, then South Carolina, USC, Arizona State, LSU, Louisville.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.