๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#21Arizona State Sun Devils

4โ€“1 ยท 2โ€“0 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 7 ยท 2025
The Week 7 recap

Arizona State lost to Utah. Playoff odds moved from 21% to 3%.

Your game

Arizona State at Utah
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Big 12 title-game chanceEntering44%Win65%Loss27%
Arizona State
Arizona State 44%Utah 56%
Utah
Final ยท Arizona State 10โ€“42 UtahWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Arizona State wanted
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Impact 1
BYU
at
Rooted for
Arizona
Final ยท BYU 33โ€“27 ArizonaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 6.9-point title-game boost

BYU won instead, so Arizona State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection49% if Arizona won42% with the other result6.9-point differenceArizona State Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 2
TCU
at
Rooted for
Kansas State
Final ยท TCU 28โ€“41 Kansas StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.7-point title-game boost

TCU lost, improving Arizona State's place in the Big 12 standings.

Entering-week projection46% if Kansas State won43% with the other result2.7-point differenceArizona State Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Kansas
at
Texas Tech
Final ยท Kansas 17โ€“42 Texas TechWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.6-point playoff boost

Texas Tech won instead, so Arizona State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection22% if Kansas won21% with the other result1.6-point differenceArizona State playoff chance
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Impact 4
Rooted for
UCF
at
Cincinnati
Final ยท UCF 11โ€“20 CincinnatiWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.4-point title-game boost

Cincinnati won instead, so Arizona State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection46% if UCF won43% with the other result2.4-point differenceArizona State Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 5
Rooted for
Virginia Tech
at
Georgia Tech
Final ยท Virginia Tech 20โ€“35 Georgia TechWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.5-point playoff boost

Georgia Tech won instead, so Arizona State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection22% if Virginia Tech won21% with the other result1.5-point differenceArizona State playoff chance
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Impact 6
Iowa State
at
Rooted for
Colorado
Final ยท Iowa State 17โ€“24 ColoradoWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.2-point title-game boost

Iowa State lost, improving Arizona State's place in the Big 12 standings.

Entering-week projection45% if Colorado won43% with the other result2.2-point differenceArizona State Big 12 title-game chance
49 other games had little impact
Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State ยท ESPNU
UCLA at Michigan State ยท BTN
Missouri State at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN2
Liberty at UTEP ยท CBSSN
East Carolina at Tulane ยท ESPN
Jacksonville State at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Southern Miss at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN2
South Florida at North Texas ยท ESPN2
Rutgers at Washington ยท FS1
Fresno State at Colorado State ยท CBSSN
Alabama at Missouri ยท ABC
Ohio State at Illinois ยท FOX
Pittsburgh at Florida State ยท ESPN
Stanford at SMU ยท The CW Network
Houston at Oklahoma State ยท TNT
Louisiana at James Madison ยท ESPN2
Charlotte at Army ยท CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Akron ยท ESPN+
Toledo at Bowling Green ยท ESPNU
Washington State at Ole Miss ยท SEC Network
Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan ยท ESPN+
Massachusetts at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma at Texas ยท ABC
Northwestern at Penn State ยท FS1
Nebraska at Maryland ยท BTN
Indiana at Oregon ยท CBS
NC State at Notre Dame ยท Peacock
Wake Forest at Oregon State ยท The CW Network
Air Force at UNLV ยท CBSSN
App State at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Western Michigan ยท ESPN+
Navy at Temple ยท ESPN2
Arkansas at Tennessee ยท SEC Network
UAB at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Florida at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
Iowa at Wisconsin ยท FS1
San Josรฉ State at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
Georgia at Auburn ยท ABC
Purdue at Minnesota ยท BTN
Michigan at USC ยท NBC
Clemson at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Rice at UTSA ยท ESPNU
South Carolina at LSU ยท SEC Network
Troy at Texas State ยท ESPN+
New Mexico at Boise State ยท FS1
San Diego State at Nevada ยท CBSSN
Utah State at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:Arizona State, then Arizona, Kansas State, Kansas, UCF, Virginia Tech, Colorado.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.