๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#12Arizona State Sun Devils

1โ€“0 ยท 0โ€“0 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 2 ยท 2025
The Week 2 recap

Arizona State lost to Mississippi State. Playoff odds moved from 24% to 14%.

Your game

Arizona State at Mississippi State
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playoff chanceEntering24%Win27%Loss18%
Arizona State
Arizona State 74%Mississippi State 26%
Mississippi State
Final ยท Arizona State 20โ€“24 Mississippi StateWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Arizona State wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
UAB
at
Navy
Final ยท UAB 24โ€“38 NavyWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.7-point playoff boost

Navy won instead, so Arizona State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection26% if UAB won24% with the other result1.7-point differenceArizona State playoff chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
Vanderbilt
at
Virginia Tech
Final ยท Vanderbilt 44โ€“20 Virginia TechWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.5-point playoff boost

Vanderbilt won, thinning out the at-large competition for Arizona State's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection25% if Vanderbilt won24% with the other result1.5-point differenceArizona State playoff chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Baylor
at
SMU
Final ยท Baylor 48โ€“45 SMUWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

Baylor won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 4 game against Arizona State.

Entering-week projection25% if Baylor won24% with the other result1.3-point differenceArizona State playoff chance
46 other games had little impact
Arkansas State at Arkansas ยท ESPN+
James Madison at Louisville ยท ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Maryland ยท BTN
San Josรฉ State at Texas ยท ABC
Florida International at Penn State ยท BTN
Kennesaw State at Indiana ยท FS1
Iowa at Iowa State ยท FOX
Illinois at Duke ยท ESPN
Virginia at NC State ยท ESPN2
Central Michigan at Pittsburgh ยท ESPNU
UConn at Syracuse ยท ESPN+
Kent State at Texas Tech ยท TNT
Liberty at Jacksonville State ยท CBSSN
Utah State at Texas A&M ยท SEC Network
Ole Miss at Kentucky ยท ABC
Kansas at Missouri ยท ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Rutgers ยท Peacock
Oklahoma State at Oregon ยท CBS
Fresno State at Oregon State ยท The CW Network
Troy at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Bowling Green at Cincinnati ยท ESPN+
Delaware at Colorado ยท FOX
Texas State at UTSA ยท ESPN+
North Texas at Western Michigan ยท ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin ยท FS1
West Virginia at Ohio ยท ESPNU
South Florida at Florida ยท SEC Network
Missouri State at Marshall ยท ESPN+
North Carolina at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
Army at Kansas State ยท ESPN
Houston at Rice ยท ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Memphis at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Tulane at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Auburn ยท ESPNU
Louisiana Tech at LSU ยท ESPN+
Michigan at Oklahoma ยท ABC
Akron at Nebraska ยท BTN
Georgia Southern at USC ยท FS1
Boston College at Michigan State ยท NBC
UL Monroe at Alabama ยท SEC Network
UCLA at UNLV ยท CBSSN
Tulsa at New Mexico State ยท ESPN+
San Diego State at Washington State ยท The CW Network
Stanford at BYU ยท ESPN
Sam Houston at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:Arizona State, then UAB, Vanderbilt, Baylor.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 2, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 2). How the model works.