๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#11LSU Tigers

4โ€“1 ยท 1โ€“1 SEC
In the books
WEEK 7 ยท 2025
The Week 7 recap

LSU beat South Carolina. Playoff odds moved from 21% to 32%.

Your game

South Carolina at LSU
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playoff chanceEntering21%Win26%Loss11%
South Carolina
South Carolina 30%LSU 70%
LSU
Final ยท South Carolina 10โ€“20 LSUWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result LSU wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Arkansas
at
Tennessee
Final ยท Arkansas 31โ€“34 TennesseeWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.2-point playoff boost

Tennessee won instead, so LSU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection23% if Arkansas won21% with the other result2.2-point differenceLSU playoff chance
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Impact 2
New Mexico
at
Rooted for
Boise State
Final ยท New Mexico 25โ€“41 Boise StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

Boise State won, thinning out the at-large competition for LSU's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection21% if Boise State won20% with the other result1.3-point differenceLSU playoff chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Oklahoma
at
Texas
Final ยท Oklahoma 6โ€“23 TexasWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

Texas won instead, so LSU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection22% if Oklahoma won21% with the other result1.3-point differenceLSU playoff chance
52 other games had little impact
Florida at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
Michigan at USC ยท NBC
Missouri State at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN2
Liberty at UTEP ยท CBSSN
Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State ยท ESPNU
East Carolina at Tulane ยท ESPN
Jacksonville State at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Southern Miss at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN2
South Florida at North Texas ยท ESPN2
Rutgers at Washington ยท FS1
Fresno State at Colorado State ยท CBSSN
Alabama at Missouri ยท ABC
UCLA at Michigan State ยท BTN
Ohio State at Illinois ยท FOX
Pittsburgh at Florida State ยท ESPN
Stanford at SMU ยท The CW Network
UCF at Cincinnati ยท FS1
Houston at Oklahoma State ยท TNT
Louisiana at James Madison ยท ESPN2
Charlotte at Army ยท CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Akron ยท ESPN+
Toledo at Bowling Green ยท ESPNU
Washington State at Ole Miss ยท SEC Network
Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan ยท ESPN+
Massachusetts at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Northwestern at Penn State ยท FS1
Nebraska at Maryland ยท BTN
Indiana at Oregon ยท CBS
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech ยท ACC Network
NC State at Notre Dame ยท Peacock
Wake Forest at Oregon State ยท The CW Network
Iowa State at Colorado ยท ESPN
TCU at Kansas State ยท FOX
Air Force at UNLV ยท CBSSN
App State at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Western Michigan ยท ESPN+
Navy at Temple ยท ESPN2
UAB at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Iowa at Wisconsin ยท FS1
San Josรฉ State at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
Georgia at Auburn ยท ABC
Purdue at Minnesota ยท BTN
Clemson at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Kansas at Texas Tech ยท FOX
Rice at UTSA ยท ESPNU
BYU at Arizona ยท ESPN2
Troy at Texas State ยท ESPN+
Arizona State at Utah ยท ESPN
San Diego State at Nevada ยท CBSSN
Utah State at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:LSU, then Arkansas, Boise State, Oklahoma.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.