๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#10LSU Tigers

5โ€“1 ยท 2โ€“1 SEC
In the books
WEEK 8 ยท 2025
The Week 8 recap

LSU lost to Vanderbilt. Playoff odds moved from 32% to 6%.

Your game

LSU at Vanderbilt
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
playoff chanceEntering32%Win46%Loss22%
LSU
LSU 41%Vanderbilt 59%
Vanderbilt
Final ยท LSU 24โ€“31 VanderbiltWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result LSU wanted
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 1
Texas A&M
at
Rooted for
Arkansas
Final ยท Texas A&M 45โ€“42 ArkansasWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.8-point playoff boost

Texas A&M won instead, so LSU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection33% if Arkansas won32% with the other result1.8-point differenceLSU playoff chance
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 2
Rooted for
USC
at
Notre Dame
Final ยท USC 24โ€“34 Notre DameWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.7-point playoff boost

Notre Dame won instead, so LSU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection34% if USC won32% with the other result1.7-point differenceLSU playoff chance
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 3
Rooted for
Oklahoma
at
South Carolina
Final ยท Oklahoma 26โ€“7 South CarolinaWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.7-point playoff boost

South Carolina lost again, helping keep them behind LSU.

Entering-week projection33% if Oklahoma won31% with the other result1.7-point differenceLSU playoff chance
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 4
Rooted for
Ole Miss
at
Georgia
Final ยท Ole Miss 35โ€“43 GeorgiaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.2-point playoff boost

Georgia won instead, so LSU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection33% if Ole Miss won32% with the other result1.2-point differenceLSU playoff chance
54 other games had little impact
Tennessee at Alabama ยท ABC
New Mexico State at Liberty ยท CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama ยท ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky ยท ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State ยท ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina ยท ESPN
Louisville at Miami ยท ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota ยท FOX
San Josรฉ State at Utah State ยท CBSSN
North Carolina at California ยท ESPN
Washington at Michigan ยท FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke ยท ESPN
UConn at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Arizona at Houston ยท FS1
Baylor at TCU ยท ESPN2
Army at Tulane ยท ESPNU
Central Michigan at Bowling Green ยท CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
West Virginia at UCF ยท TNT
Kent State at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern ยท BTN
Troy at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
Ohio State at Wisconsin ยท CBS
Michigan State at Indiana ยท Peacock
SMU at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force ยท CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State ยท FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison ยท ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas ยท ESPN+
Akron at Ball State ยท ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio ยท ESPN+
Texas Tech at Arizona State ยท FOX
Memphis at UAB ยท ESPN2
Mississippi State at Florida ยท SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Oregon at Rutgers ยท BTN
Washington State at Virginia ยท The CW Network
Texas at Kentucky ยท ESPN
Penn State at Iowa ยท Peacock
Maryland at UCLA ยท FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
Pittsburgh at Syracuse ยท ACC Network
Florida Atlantic at South Florida ยท ESPNU
Missouri at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Utah at BYU ยท FOX
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State ยท ESPN2
Nevada at New Mexico ยท FS1
Florida State at Stanford ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:LSU, then Arkansas, USC, Oklahoma, Ole Miss.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.