๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#3LSU Tigers

2โ€“0 ยท 0โ€“0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 3 ยท 2025
The Week 3 recap

LSU beat Florida. Playoff odds moved from 57% to 53%.

Your game

Florida at LSU
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playoff chanceEntering57%Win62%Loss45%
Florida
Florida 31%LSU 69%
LSU
Final ยท Florida 10โ€“20 LSUWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result LSU wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Arkansas
at
Ole Miss
Final ยท Arkansas 35โ€“41 Ole MissWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.8-point playoff boost

Ole Miss won instead, so LSU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection58% if Arkansas won56% with the other result1.8-point differenceLSU playoff chance
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Impact 2
Massachusetts
at
Rooted for
Iowa
Final ยท Massachusetts 7โ€“47 IowaWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.8-point first-round-bye boost

Iowa won, helping protect LSU's path to a top-four seed and first-round bye.

Entering-week projection13% if Iowa won10% with the other result2.8-point differenceLSU first-round bye chance
44 other games had little impact
Texas A&M at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Oregon at Northwestern ยท FOX
Ohio at Ohio State ยท Peacock
Georgia at Tennessee ยท ABC
NC State at Wake Forest ยท ESPN
Colorado at Houston ยท ESPN
Kansas State at Arizona ยท FOX
New Mexico at UCLA ยท BTN
Wisconsin at Alabama ยท ABC
Oklahoma at Temple ยท ESPN2
Central Michigan at Michigan ยท BTN
Clemson at Georgia Tech ยท ESPN
Memphis at Troy ยท ESPNU
Buffalo at Kent State ยท CBSSN
South Alabama at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Louisiana at Missouri ยท ESPN+
UConn at Delaware ยท ESPN+
USC at Purdue ยท CBS
Oregon State at Texas Tech ยท FOX
Washington State at North Texas ยท ESPNU
SMU at Missouri State ยท CBSSN
Pittsburgh at West Virginia ยท ESPN
Iowa State at Arkansas State ยท ESPN2
UTEP at Texas ยท SEC Network
South Florida at Miami ยท The CW Network
Liberty at Bowling Green ยท ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Nevada
Florida Atlantic at Florida International ยท ESPN+
Western Michigan at Illinois ยท FS1
Old Dominion at Virginia Tech ยท ACC Network
Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
App State at Southern Miss ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Kentucky ยท ESPNU
New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech ยท ESPN+
East Carolina at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
Vanderbilt at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
Duke at Tulane ยท ESPN2
Utah at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
Navy at Tulsa ยท ESPN+
Akron at UAB ยท ESPN+
Air Force at Utah State ยท FS1
Minnesota at California ยท ESPN
Boston College at Stanford ยท ACC Network
Texas State at Arizona State ยท TNT
The rooting list was:LSU, then Arkansas, Iowa.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3). How the model works.