๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#15Michigan Wolverines

4โ€“1 ยท 2โ€“0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 7 ยท 2025
The Week 7 recap

Michigan lost to USC. Playoff odds moved from 19% to 6%.

Your game

Michigan at USC
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playoff chanceEntering19%Win31%Loss11%
Michigan
Michigan 37%USC 63%
USC
Final ยท Michigan 13โ€“31 USCWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Michigan wanted
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Impact 1
Ohio State
at
Rooted for
Illinois
Final ยท Ohio State 34โ€“16 IllinoisWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.8-point title-game boost

Ohio State won instead, so Michigan did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection25% if Illinois won22% with the other result2.8-point differenceMichigan Big Ten title-game chance
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Impact 2
Rutgers
at
Rooted for
Washington
Final ยท Rutgers 19โ€“38 WashingtonWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

Washington won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 8 game against Michigan.

Entering-week projection19% if Washington won18% with the other result1.3-point differenceMichigan playoff chance
53 other games had little impact
Iowa at Wisconsin ยท FS1
UCLA at Michigan State ยท BTN
Indiana at Oregon ยท CBS
Purdue at Minnesota ยท BTN
Nebraska at Maryland ยท BTN
Missouri State at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN2
Liberty at UTEP ยท CBSSN
Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State ยท ESPNU
East Carolina at Tulane ยท ESPN
Jacksonville State at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Southern Miss at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN2
South Florida at North Texas ยท ESPN2
Fresno State at Colorado State ยท CBSSN
Alabama at Missouri ยท ABC
Pittsburgh at Florida State ยท ESPN
Stanford at SMU ยท The CW Network
UCF at Cincinnati ยท FS1
Houston at Oklahoma State ยท TNT
Louisiana at James Madison ยท ESPN2
Charlotte at Army ยท CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Akron ยท ESPN+
Toledo at Bowling Green ยท ESPNU
Washington State at Ole Miss ยท SEC Network
Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan ยท ESPN+
Massachusetts at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma at Texas ยท ABC
Northwestern at Penn State ยท FS1
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech ยท ACC Network
NC State at Notre Dame ยท Peacock
Wake Forest at Oregon State ยท The CW Network
Iowa State at Colorado ยท ESPN
TCU at Kansas State ยท FOX
Air Force at UNLV ยท CBSSN
App State at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Western Michigan ยท ESPN+
Navy at Temple ยท ESPN2
Arkansas at Tennessee ยท SEC Network
UAB at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Florida at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
San Josรฉ State at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
Georgia at Auburn ยท ABC
Clemson at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Kansas at Texas Tech ยท FOX
Rice at UTSA ยท ESPNU
South Carolina at LSU ยท SEC Network
BYU at Arizona ยท ESPN2
Troy at Texas State ยท ESPN+
New Mexico at Boise State ยท FS1
Arizona State at Utah ยท ESPN
San Diego State at Nevada ยท CBSSN
Utah State at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:Michigan, then Illinois, Washington.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.