๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#20Michigan Wolverines

3โ€“1 ยท 1โ€“0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 6 ยท 2025
The Week 6 recap

Michigan beat Wisconsin. Playoff odds moved from 15% to 19%.

Your game

Wisconsin at Michigan
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Big Ten title-game chanceEntering21%Win23%Loss4%
Wisconsin
Wisconsin 10%Michigan 90%
Michigan
Final ยท Wisconsin 10โ€“24 MichiganWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Michigan wanted
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 1
Rooted for
Minnesota
at
Ohio State
Final ยท Minnesota 3โ€“42 Ohio StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 4.3-point title-game boost

Ohio State won instead, so Michigan did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection25% if Minnesota won21% with the other result4.3-point differenceMichigan Big Ten title-game chance
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 2
Penn State
at
Rooted for
UCLA
Final ยท Penn State 37โ€“42 UCLAWish granted โœ“
Projected 3.8-point title-game boost

Penn State lost, improving Michigan's place in the Big Ten standings.

Entering-week projection25% if UCLA won21% with the other result3.8-point differenceMichigan Big Ten title-game chance
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 3
Coastal Carolina
at
Rooted for
Old Dominion
Final ยท Coastal Carolina 7โ€“47 Old DominionWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

Old Dominion won, thinning out the at-large competition for Michigan's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection15% if Old Dominion won14% with the other result1.3-point differenceMichigan playoff chance
46 other games had little impact
Virginia at Louisville ยท ESPN2
Illinois at Purdue ยท BTN
Sam Houston at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
Western Kentucky at Delaware ยท CBSSN
Charlotte at South Florida ยท ESPN2
New Mexico at San Josรฉ State ยท FS1
West Virginia at BYU ยท ESPN
Colorado State at San Diego State ยท CBSSN
Kentucky at Georgia ยท ABC
Boston College at Pittsburgh ยท ACC Network
Clemson at North Carolina ยท ESPN
Kansas State at Baylor ยท ESPN+
Iowa State at Cincinnati ยท ESPN2
Air Force at Navy ยท CBS
Army at UAB ยท ESPNU
Ohio at Ball State ยท CBSSN
Wake Forest at Virginia Tech ยท The CW Network
UTSA at Temple ยท ESPN+
Western Michigan at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma State at Arizona ยท truTV
Vanderbilt at Alabama ยท ABC
Texas at Florida ยท ESPN
Washington at Maryland ยท BTN
UL Monroe at Northwestern ยท BTN
Oregon State at App State ยท ESPN+
Syracuse at SMU ยท ACC Network
Boise State at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Florida International at UConn ยท CBSSN
James Madison at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Central Michigan at Akron ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Buffalo ยท ESPN+
Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN+
Kent State at Oklahoma ยท SEC Network
Michigan State at Nebraska ยท FS1
Texas State at Arkansas State ยท ESPNU
Texas Tech at Houston ยท ESPN
UNLV at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
South Alabama at Troy ยท ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Rice ยท ESPN+
Mississippi State at Texas A&M ยท SEC Network
Miami at Florida State ยท ABC
Colorado at TCU ยท FOX
Kansas at UCF ยท ESPN2
Tulsa at Memphis ยท ESPNU
Duke at California ยท ESPN
Nevada at Fresno State ยท CBSSN
The rooting list was:Michigan, then Minnesota, UCLA, Old Dominion.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.