๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#14Michigan Wolverines

0โ€“0 ยท 0โ€“0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 1 ยท 2025
The Week 1 recap

Michigan beat New Mexico. Playoff odds moved from 24% to 24%.

Your game

New Mexico at Michigan
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playoff chanceEntering24%Win25%Loss13%
New Mexico
New Mexico 5%Michigan 95%
Michigan
Final ยท New Mexico 17โ€“34 MichiganWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Michigan wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Georgia State
at
Ole Miss
Final ยท Georgia State 7โ€“63 Ole MissWent the other way โœ—
Projected 6.4-point playoff boost

Ole Miss won instead, so Michigan did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection31% if Georgia State won24% with the other result6.4-point differenceMichigan playoff chance
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Impact 2
Ball State
at
Rooted for
Purdue
Final ยท Ball State 0โ€“31 PurdueWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.4-point playoff boost

Purdue won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 10 game against Michigan.

Entering-week projection25% if Purdue won23% with the other result1.4-point differenceMichigan playoff chance
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Impact 3
Texas
at
Rooted for
Ohio State
Final ยท Texas 7โ€“14 Ohio StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

Ohio State won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 14 game against Michigan.

Entering-week projection25% if Ohio State won23% with the other result1.3-point differenceMichigan playoff chance
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Impact 4
Alabama
at
Rooted for
Florida State
Final ยท Alabama 17โ€“31 Florida StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.2-point playoff boost

Florida State won, thinning out the at-large competition for Michigan's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection25% if Florida State won24% with the other result1.2-point differenceMichigan playoff chance
43 other games had little impact
Virginia Tech at South Carolina ยท ESPN
Iowa State at Kansas State ยท ESPN
Fresno State at Kansas ยท FOX
Sam Houston at Western Kentucky ยท CBSSN
Stanford at Hawai'i ยท CBS
Boise State at South Florida ยท ESPN
Ohio at Rutgers ยท BTN
East Carolina at NC State ยท ACC Network
Jacksonville State at UCF ยท ESPN+
Wyoming at Akron ยท ESPN+
Buffalo at Minnesota ยท FS1
Nebraska at Cincinnati ยท ESPN
Miami (OH) at Wisconsin ยท BTN
Western Michigan at Michigan State ยท FS1
Kennesaw State at Wake Forest ยท ACC Network
App State at Charlotte ยท ESPNU
Auburn at Baylor ยท FOX
Georgia Tech at Colorado ยท ESPN
UNLV at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Central Michigan at San Josรฉ State ยท FS1
Mississippi State at Southern Miss ยท ESPN
Syracuse at Tennessee ยท ABC
Florida Atlantic at Maryland ยท BTN
Northwestern at Tulane ยท ESPNU
Toledo at Kentucky ยท SEC Network
Old Dominion at Indiana ยท FS1
Marshall at Georgia ยท ESPN
Nevada at Penn State ยท CBS
Temple at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Virginia ยท ACC Network
UTSA at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
LSU at Clemson ยท ABC
Missouri State at USC ยท BTN
UTEP at Utah State ยท CBSSN
Rice at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Texas State ยท ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Fresno State ยท FS1
California at Oregon State ยท ESPN
Hawai'i at Arizona ยท TNT
Utah at UCLA ยท FOX
Colorado State at Washington ยท BTN
Notre Dame at Miami ยท ABC
TCU at North Carolina ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:Michigan, then Georgia State, Purdue, Ohio State, Florida State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 1). How the model works.