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#9Texas Tech Red Raiders

5–0 · 2–0 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 7 · 2025
56%
Big 12 title game
34%
Win the Big 12
42%
Make the playoff
1%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.7
How the week went: playoff odds 42% → 75% · title-game odds 56% → 81%.
Playoff odds by week
1234567

If Texas Tech wins out: 66% to win the Big 12, 85% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Texas Tech's path
Your game
…
… · FOX
Kansas at #9 Texas Tech

Your game. Beat Kansas and your playoff odds are 49%; lose and they drop to 21%.

Final · Kansas 17–42 Texas TechWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · Peacock
NC State at #16 Notre Dame

NC State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · NC State 7–36 Notre DameWent the other way ✗
Root for NC State+5.6 pp playoff odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN
#21 Arizona State at Utah

Big 12 race: Arizona State losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Utah — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play Arizona State in week 8.

Final · Arizona State 10–42 UtahWish granted ✓
Root for Utah+6.8 pp title-game odds
…
… · ABC
#10 Georgia at Auburn

Auburn winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Georgia 20–10 AuburnWent the other way ✗
Root for Auburn+3.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
TCU at Kansas State

Big 12 race: TCU losing helps your spot in the standings; Kansas State visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.

Final · TCU 28–41 Kansas StateWish granted ✓
Root for Kansas State+5.5 pp title-game odds
…
… · ABC
#6 Oklahoma at Texas

Texas winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Oklahoma 6–23 TexasWish granted ✓
Root for Texas+2.9 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
Florida at #5 Texas A&M

Florida winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Florida 17–34 Texas A&MWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida+2.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN2
#18 BYU at Arizona

Big 12 race: BYU losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play BYU in week 11.

Final · BYU 33–27 ArizonaWent the other way ✗
Root for Arizona+2.7 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN
#22 Iowa State at Colorado

Big 12 race: Iowa State losing helps your spot in the standings.

Final · Iowa State 17–24 ColoradoWish granted ✓
Root for Colorado+2.5 pp title-game odds
…
… · FS1
UCF at Cincinnati

Big 12 race: Cincinnati losing helps your spot in the standings; UCF visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.

Final · UCF 11–20 CincinnatiWent the other way ✗
Root for UCF+2.4 pp title-game odds
46 more games that don't move your needle
Missouri State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Liberty at UTEP · CBSSN
Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State · ESPNU
East Carolina at Tulane · ESPN
Jacksonville State at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Southern Miss at Georgia Southern · ESPN2
South Florida at North Texas · ESPN2
Rutgers at Washington · FS1
Fresno State at Colorado State · CBSSN
Alabama at Missouri · ABC
UCLA at Michigan State · BTN
Ohio State at Illinois · FOX
Pittsburgh at Florida State · ESPN
Stanford at SMU · The CW Network
Houston at Oklahoma State · TNT
Louisiana at James Madison · ESPN2
Charlotte at Army · CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Akron · ESPN+
Toledo at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Washington State at Ole Miss · SEC Network
Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Kent State · ESPN+
Northwestern at Penn State · FS1
Nebraska at Maryland · BTN
Indiana at Oregon · CBS
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech · ACC Network
Wake Forest at Oregon State · The CW Network
Air Force at UNLV · CBSSN
App State at Georgia State · ESPN+
Old Dominion at Marshall · ESPN+
Ball State at Western Michigan · ESPN+
Navy at Temple · ESPN2
Arkansas at Tennessee · SEC Network
UAB at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Iowa at Wisconsin · FS1
San José State at Wyoming · CBSSN
UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Purdue at Minnesota · BTN
Michigan at USC · NBC
Clemson at Boston College · ACC Network
Rice at UTSA · ESPNU
South Carolina at LSU · SEC Network
Troy at Texas State · ESPN+
New Mexico at Boise State · FS1
San Diego State at Nevada · CBSSN
Utah State at Hawai'i

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7).