๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#9Texas Tech Red Raiders

5โ€“0 ยท 2โ€“0 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 7 ยท 2025
The Week 7 recap

Texas Tech beat Kansas. Playoff odds moved from 51% to 70%.

Your game

Kansas at Texas Tech
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playoff chanceEntering51%Win58%Loss31%
Kansas
Kansas 25%Texas Tech 75%
Texas Tech
Final ยท Kansas 17โ€“42 Texas TechWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Texas Tech wanted
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Impact 1
TCU
at
Rooted for
Kansas State
Final ยท TCU 28โ€“41 Kansas StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 4.4-point playoff boost

Kansas State won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 10 game against Texas Tech.

Entering-week projection54% if Kansas State won49% with the other result4.4-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
Northwestern
at
Penn State
Final ยท Northwestern 22โ€“21 Penn StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 4.4-point playoff boost

Northwestern won, thinning out the at-large competition for Texas Tech's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection56% if Northwestern won51% with the other result4.4-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance
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Impact 3
Arizona State
at
Rooted for
Utah
Final ยท Arizona State 10โ€“42 UtahWish granted โœ“
Projected 4.9-point title-game boost

Arizona State lost, improving Texas Tech's place in the Big 12 standings.

Entering-week projection60% if Utah won55% with the other result4.9-point differenceTexas Tech Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 4
Iowa State
at
Rooted for
Colorado
Final ยท Iowa State 17โ€“24 ColoradoWish granted โœ“
Projected 3.4-point title-game boost

Iowa State lost, improving Texas Tech's place in the Big 12 standings.

Entering-week projection59% if Colorado won56% with the other result3.4-point differenceTexas Tech Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 5
Rooted for
UCF
at
Cincinnati
Final ยท UCF 11โ€“20 CincinnatiWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.7-point title-game boost

Cincinnati won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection59% if UCF won56% with the other result2.7-point differenceTexas Tech Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 6
Georgia
at
Rooted for
Auburn
Final ยท Georgia 20โ€“10 AuburnWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.6-point playoff boost

Georgia won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection53% if Auburn won51% with the other result1.6-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance
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Impact 7
BYU
at
Rooted for
Arizona
Final ยท BYU 33โ€“27 ArizonaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.3-point title-game boost

BYU won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection59% if Arizona won57% with the other result2.3-point differenceTexas Tech Big 12 title-game chance
48 other games had little impact
Arkansas at Tennessee ยท SEC Network
Alabama at Missouri ยท ABC
Oklahoma at Texas ยท ABC
Missouri State at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN2
Liberty at UTEP ยท CBSSN
Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State ยท ESPNU
East Carolina at Tulane ยท ESPN
Jacksonville State at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Southern Miss at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN2
South Florida at North Texas ยท ESPN2
Rutgers at Washington ยท FS1
Fresno State at Colorado State ยท CBSSN
UCLA at Michigan State ยท BTN
Ohio State at Illinois ยท FOX
Pittsburgh at Florida State ยท ESPN
Stanford at SMU ยท The CW Network
Houston at Oklahoma State ยท TNT
Louisiana at James Madison ยท ESPN2
Charlotte at Army ยท CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Akron ยท ESPN+
Toledo at Bowling Green ยท ESPNU
Washington State at Ole Miss ยท SEC Network
Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan ยท ESPN+
Massachusetts at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Nebraska at Maryland ยท BTN
Indiana at Oregon ยท CBS
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech ยท ACC Network
NC State at Notre Dame ยท Peacock
Wake Forest at Oregon State ยท The CW Network
Air Force at UNLV ยท CBSSN
App State at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Western Michigan ยท ESPN+
Navy at Temple ยท ESPN2
UAB at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Florida at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
Iowa at Wisconsin ยท FS1
San Josรฉ State at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
Purdue at Minnesota ยท BTN
Michigan at USC ยท NBC
Clemson at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Rice at UTSA ยท ESPNU
South Carolina at LSU ยท SEC Network
Troy at Texas State ยท ESPN+
New Mexico at Boise State ยท FS1
San Diego State at Nevada ยท CBSSN
Utah State at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:Texas Tech, then Kansas State, Northwestern, Utah, Colorado, UCF, Auburn, Arizona.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.