๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#7Texas Tech Red Raiders

6โ€“0 ยท 3โ€“0 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 8 ยท 2025
The Week 8 recap

Texas Tech lost to Arizona State. Playoff odds moved from 70% to 44%.

Your game

Texas Tech at Arizona State
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
playoff chanceEntering70%Win79%Loss53%
Texas Tech
Texas Tech 66%Arizona State 34%
Arizona State
Final ยท Texas Tech 22โ€“26 Arizona StateWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Texas Tech wanted
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 1
Rooted for
Kent State
at
Toledo
Final ยท Kent State 10โ€“45 ToledoWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.5-point playoff boost

Toledo won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection74% if Kent State won70% with the other result3.5-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 2
Utah
at
Rooted for
BYU
Final ยท Utah 21โ€“24 BYUWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.3-point playoff boost

Utah lost again, helping keep them behind Texas Tech.

Entering-week projection71% if BYU won69% with the other result2.3-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 3
Oregon
at
Rooted for
Rutgers
Final ยท Oregon 56โ€“10 RutgersWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.1-point playoff boost

Oregon won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection72% if Rutgers won70% with the other result2.1-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 4
Cincinnati
at
Rooted for
Oklahoma State
Final ยท Cincinnati 49โ€“17 Oklahoma StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.5-point title-game boost

Cincinnati won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection84% if Oklahoma State won81% with the other result2.5-point differenceTexas Tech Big 12 title-game chance
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 5
Texas A&M
at
Rooted for
Arkansas
Final ยท Texas A&M 45โ€“42 ArkansasWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.6-point playoff boost

Texas A&M won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection71% if Arkansas won70% with the other result1.6-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 6
Ohio State
at
Rooted for
Wisconsin
Final ยท Ohio State 34โ€“0 WisconsinWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.9-point first-round-bye boost

Ohio State won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection30% if Wisconsin won27% with the other result2.9-point differenceTexas Tech first-round bye chance
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 7
Rooted for
Louisville
at
Miami
Final ยท Louisville 24โ€“21 MiamiWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.6-point first-round-bye boost

Louisville won, helping protect Texas Tech's path to a top-four seed and first-round bye.

Entering-week projection29% if Louisville won27% with the other result2.6-point differenceTexas Tech first-round bye chance
51 other games had little impact
Tennessee at Alabama ยท ABC
New Mexico State at Liberty ยท CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama ยท ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky ยท ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State ยท ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina ยท ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota ยท FOX
San Josรฉ State at Utah State ยท CBSSN
North Carolina at California ยท ESPN
LSU at Vanderbilt ยท ABC
Washington at Michigan ยท FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke ยท ESPN
UConn at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Arizona at Houston ยท FS1
Baylor at TCU ยท ESPN2
Army at Tulane ยท ESPNU
Central Michigan at Bowling Green ยท CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
West Virginia at UCF ยท TNT
Buffalo at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern ยท BTN
Troy at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
Ole Miss at Georgia ยท ABC
Michigan State at Indiana ยท Peacock
SMU at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force ยท CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State ยท FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison ยท ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas ยท ESPN+
Akron at Ball State ยท ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio ยท ESPN+
Memphis at UAB ยท ESPN2
Mississippi State at Florida ยท SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Washington State at Virginia ยท The CW Network
Texas at Kentucky ยท ESPN
Penn State at Iowa ยท Peacock
Maryland at UCLA ยท FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
USC at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Pittsburgh at Syracuse ยท ACC Network
Florida Atlantic at South Florida ยท ESPNU
Missouri at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Nevada at New Mexico ยท FS1
Florida State at Stanford ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:Texas Tech, then Kent State, BYU, Rutgers, Oklahoma State, Arkansas, Wisconsin, Louisville.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.