#8Texas Tech Red Raiders
8–1 · 5–1 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 11 · 2025
84%
Big 12 title game
57%
Win the Big 12
74%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.3
How the week went: playoff odds 74% → 95% · title-game odds 84% → 96%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Texas Tech's pathYour game
…
… · ABC
#7 BYU at #8 Texas Tech
Your game. Beat BYU and your playoff odds are 85%; lose and they drop to 31%.
Final · BYU 7–29 Texas TechWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · CBS
#9 Oregon at #20 Iowa
Iowa winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Oregon 18–16 IowaWent the other way ✗
Root for Iowa+2.2 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
Iowa State at TCU
Big 12 race: TCU losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Iowa State 20–17 TCUWish granted ✓
Root for Iowa State+2.3 pp title-game odds
48 more games that don't move your needle
Kennesaw State at New Mexico State · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Akron · CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Ohio · ESPN2
Kent State at Ball State · ESPNU
Northern Illinois at Toledo · ESPN2
Georgia Southern at App State · ESPN2
UTSA at South Florida · ESPN
Houston at UCF · FS1
Northwestern at USC · FOX
Tulane at Memphis · ESPN
Georgia at Mississippi State · ESPN
Indiana at Penn State · FOX
SMU at Boston College · ACC Network
Colorado at West Virginia · TNT
James Madison at Marshall · ESPN2
Southern Miss at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Temple at Army · CBSSN
Ohio State at Purdue · BTN
Missouri State at Liberty · ESPN+
Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
UAB at Rice · ESPN+
Maryland at Rutgers · FS1
Louisiana Tech at Delaware · ESPN+
Florida International at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Jacksonville State at UTEP · ESPN+
Charlotte at East Carolina · ESPN+
Tulsa at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Texas A&M at Missouri · ABC
Syracuse at Miami · ESPN
Duke at UConn · CBSSN
Kansas at Arizona · ESPN2
Auburn at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Georgia State at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Washington at Wisconsin · BTN
Stanford at North Carolina · The CW Network
Texas State at Louisiana · ESPN+
Air Force at San José State · FS1
California at Louisville · ESPN2
Florida State at Clemson · ACC Network
Wake Forest at Virginia · ESPN
LSU at Alabama · ABC
Florida at Kentucky · SEC Network
Navy at Notre Dame · NBC
Nevada at Utah State · CBSSN
Nebraska at UCLA · FOX
UNLV at Colorado State · FS1
Sam Houston at Oregon State · The CW Network
San Diego State at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 11).