๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#5Texas Tech Red Raiders

10โ€“1 ยท 7โ€“1 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 14 ยท 2025
The Week 14 recap

Texas Tech beat West Virginia. Playoff odds moved from 91% to 96%.

Your game

Texas Tech at West Virginia
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Big 12 title-game chanceEntering97%Win100%Loss39%
Texas Tech
Texas Tech 96%West Virginia 4%
West Virginia
Final ยท Texas Tech 49โ€“0 West VirginiaWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Texas Tech wanted
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Impact 1
Georgia
at
Rooted for
Georgia Tech
Final ยท Georgia 16โ€“9 Georgia TechWent the other way โœ—
Projected 8.0-point first-round-bye boost

Georgia won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection56% if Georgia Tech won48% with the other result8-point differenceTexas Tech first-round bye chance
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Impact 2
Texas A&M
at
Rooted for
Texas
Final ยท Texas A&M 17โ€“27 TexasWish granted โœ“
Projected 5.2-point first-round-bye boost

Texas won, helping protect Texas Tech's path to a top-four seed and first-round bye.

Entering-week projection51% if Texas won45% with the other result5.2-point differenceTexas Tech first-round bye chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Arizona
at
Arizona State
Final ยท Arizona 23โ€“7 Arizona StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 4.1-point title-game boost

Arizona State lost, improving Texas Tech's place in the Big 12 standings.

Entering-week projection100% if Arizona won96% with the other result4.1-point differenceTexas Tech Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 4
Ole Miss
at
Rooted for
Mississippi State
Final ยท Ole Miss 38โ€“19 Mississippi StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.2-point playoff boost

Ole Miss won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection93% if Mississippi State won90% with the other result2.2-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance
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Impact 5
Rooted for
LSU
at
Oklahoma
Final ยท LSU 13โ€“17 OklahomaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.6-point playoff boost

Oklahoma won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection92% if LSU won90% with the other result1.6-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance
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Impact 6
Oregon
at
Rooted for
Washington
Final ยท Oregon 26โ€“14 WashingtonWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.8-point first-round-bye boost

Oregon won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection51% if Washington won48% with the other result2.8-point differenceTexas Tech first-round bye chance
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Impact 7
Alabama
at
Rooted for
Auburn
Final ยท Alabama 27โ€“20 AuburnWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.5-point playoff boost

Alabama won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection92% if Auburn won90% with the other result1.5-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance
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Impact 8
Rooted for
UCF
at
BYU
Final ยท UCF 21โ€“41 BYUWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.2-point playoff boost

BYU won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection92% if UCF won91% with the other result1.2-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance
58 other games had little impact
Virginia Tech at Virginia ยท ESPN
Vanderbilt at Tennessee ยท ESPN
Bowling Green at Massachusetts ยท ESPNU
Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan ยท ESPN2
Navy at Memphis ยท ESPN
Iowa at Nebraska ยท CBS
Utah at Kansas ยท ESPN
Ohio at Buffalo ยท ESPNU
Kent State at Northern Illinois ยท CBSSN
Air Force at Colorado State ยท FS1
San Diego State at New Mexico ยท CBSSN
Temple at North Texas ยท ESPN
Boise State at Utah State ยท CBS
Indiana at Purdue ยท NBC
Kentucky at Louisville ยท ACC Network
Clemson at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
Ohio State at Michigan ยท FOX
Miami at Pittsburgh ยท ABC
Houston at Baylor ยท TNT
Colorado at Kansas State ยท FS1
Iowa State at Oklahoma State ยท ESPNU
East Carolina at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Toledo at Central Michigan ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Miami (OH) ยท CBSSN
UTEP at Delaware ยท ESPN+
Florida International at Sam Houston ยท ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State ยท ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at Missouri State ยท ESPN+
Georgia State at Old Dominion ยท ESPN+
Arkansas State at App State ยท ESPN+
Boston College at Syracuse ยท The CW Network
Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State ยท ESPN+
UL Monroe at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
South Alabama at Texas State ยท ESPN+
UAB at Tulsa ยท ESPN+
Missouri at Arkansas ยท SEC Network
Wisconsin at Minnesota ยท FS1
Penn State at Rutgers ยท BTN
Wake Forest at Duke ยท ACC Network
Cincinnati at TCU ยท FOX
Kennesaw State at Liberty ยท CBSSN
Troy at Southern Miss ยท ESPN+
Army at UTSA ยท ESPN+
James Madison at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPNU
Florida State at Florida ยท ESPN2
Oregon State at Washington State ยท The CW Network
Maryland at Michigan State ยท FS1
Rice at South Florida ยท ESPN+
UCLA at USC ยท NBC
Northwestern at Illinois ยท FOX
North Carolina at NC State ยท ACC Network
Charlotte at Tulane ยท ESPNU
SMU at California ยท ESPN2
UNLV at Nevada ยท CBSSN
Notre Dame at Stanford ยท ESPN
Fresno State at San Josรฉ State ยท FS1
Wyoming at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:Texas Tech, then Georgia Tech, Texas, Arizona, Mississippi State, LSU, Washington, Auburn, UCF.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 14, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 14). How the model works.