๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#14Texas Tech Red Raiders

6โ€“1 ยท 3โ€“1 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 9 ยท 2025
The Week 9 recap

Texas Tech beat Oklahoma State. Playoff odds moved from 44% to 48%.

Your game

Oklahoma State at Texas Tech
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playoff chanceEntering44%Win44%Loss18%
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State <1%Texas Tech >99%
Texas Tech
Final ยท Oklahoma State 0โ€“42 Texas TechWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Texas Tech wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Houston
at
Arizona State
Final ยท Houston 24โ€“16 Arizona StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 6.4-point title-game boost

Arizona State lost, improving Texas Tech's place in the Big 12 standings.

Entering-week projection68% if Houston won61% with the other result6.4-point differenceTexas Tech Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 2
TCU
at
Rooted for
West Virginia
Final ยท TCU 23โ€“17 West VirginiaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 6.0-point title-game boost

TCU won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection68% if West Virginia won62% with the other result6-point differenceTexas Tech Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 3
Michigan
at
Rooted for
Michigan State
Final ยท Michigan 31โ€“20 Michigan StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.5-point playoff boost

Michigan won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection46% if Michigan State won44% with the other result2.5-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance
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Impact 4
Rooted for
Colorado
at
Utah
Final ยท Colorado 7โ€“53 UtahWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.0-point playoff boost

Utah won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection46% if Colorado won44% with the other result2-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance
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Impact 5
BYU
at
Rooted for
Iowa State
Final ยท BYU 41โ€“27 Iowa StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.3-point title-game boost

BYU won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection64% if Iowa State won61% with the other result2.3-point differenceTexas Tech Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 6
Kansas State
at
Rooted for
Kansas
Final ยท Kansas State 42โ€“17 KansasWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.3-point title-game boost

Kansas State won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection64% if Kansas won61% with the other result2.3-point differenceTexas Tech Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 7
Rooted for
Baylor
at
Cincinnati
Final ยท Baylor 20โ€“41 CincinnatiWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.0-point title-game boost

Cincinnati won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection64% if Baylor won62% with the other result2-point differenceTexas Tech Big 12 title-game chance
45 other games had little impact
Kennesaw State at Florida International ยท ESPNU
Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech ยท CBSSN
Middle Tennessee at Delaware ยท ESPN2
Missouri State at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
South Alabama at Georgia State ยท ESPN2
North Texas at Charlotte ยท ESPN2
California at Virginia Tech ยท ESPN
Boise State at Nevada ยท CBSSN
Ole Miss at Oklahoma ยท ABC
Northwestern at Nebraska ยท FS1
Rutgers at Purdue ยท BTN
UCLA at Indiana ยท FOX
SMU at Wake Forest ยท The CW Network
Syracuse at Georgia Tech ยท ESPN
Virginia at North Carolina ยท ACC Network
App State at Old Dominion ยท ESPNU
South Florida at Memphis ยท ESPN2
Bowling Green at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Ohio at Eastern Michigan ยท CBSSN
Auburn at Arkansas ยท SEC Network
Akron at Buffalo ยท ESPN+
UConn at Rice ยท ESPN+
Utah State at New Mexico
Alabama at South Carolina ยท ABC
Missouri at Vanderbilt ยท ESPN
Illinois at Washington ยท BTN
Minnesota at Iowa ยท CBS
Toledo at Washington State ยท The CW Network
NC State at Pittsburgh ยท ACC Network
San Diego State at Fresno State ยท FS1
UL Monroe at Southern Miss ยท ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Navy ยท CBSSN
Temple at Tulsa ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN+
Massachusetts at Central Michigan ยท ESPN+
Western Michigan at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
Texas at Mississippi State ยท SEC Network
Wisconsin at Oregon ยท FS1
Stanford at Miami ยท ESPN
Georgia Southern at Arkansas State ยท ESPN+
Louisiana at Troy ยท ESPN+
Texas A&M at LSU ยท ABC
Boston College at Louisville ยท ACC Network
Colorado State at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
Tennessee at Kentucky ยท SEC Network
The rooting list was:Texas Tech, then Houston, West Virginia, Michigan State, Colorado, Iowa State, Kansas, Baylor.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9). How the model works.