The Big 12 race
16 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 9 · 2025
14 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 9; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #11BYU | 4–0 | 7–0 | 6.6–2.4 | 43% | 19% | 19% |
 #21Cincinnati | 4–0 | 6–1 | 6.2–2.8 | 23% | 7% | 7% |
 #14Texas Tech | 3–1 | 6–1 | 7.1–1.9 | 61% | 42% | 42% |
 #24Arizona State | 3–1 | 5–2 | 6.4–2.6 | 28% | 10% | 9% |
 Houston | 3–1 | 6–1 | 4.8–4.2 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
 Utah | 2–2 | 5–2 | 5.6–3.4 | 15% | 9% | 9% |
 TCU | 2–2 | 5–2 | 5.5–3.5 | 14% | 7% | 7% |
 Kansas State | 2–2 | 3–4 | 4.9–4.1 | 5% | 2% | 2% |
 Iowa State | 2–2 | 5–2 | 4.9–4.1 | 5% | 2% | <1% |
 Baylor | 2–2 | 4–3 | 4.6–4.4 | 3% | 1% | <1% |
 Kansas | 2–2 | 4–3 | 4.9–4.1 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
 UCF | 1–3 | 4–3 | 3.7–5.3 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Colorado | 1–3 | 3–4 | 3.7–5.3 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Arizona | 1–3 | 4–3 | 2.5–6.5 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Oklahoma State | 0–4 | 1–6 | 0.2–8.8 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 West Virginia | 0–4 | 2–5 | 0.6–8.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9).