๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#11BYU Cougars

7โ€“0 ยท 4โ€“0 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 9 ยท 2025
The Week 9 recap

BYU beat Iowa State. Playoff odds moved from 24% to 17%.

Your game

BYU at Iowa State
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Big 12 title-game chanceEntering42%Win59%Loss27%
BYU
BYU 49%Iowa State 51%
Iowa State
Final ยท BYU 41โ€“27 Iowa StateWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result BYU wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Oklahoma State
at
Texas Tech
Final ยท Oklahoma State 0โ€“42 Texas TechWent the other way โœ—
Projected 6.9-point playoff boost

Texas Tech won instead, so BYU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection30% if Oklahoma State won24% with the other result6.9-point differenceBYU playoff chance
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Impact 2
TCU
at
Rooted for
West Virginia
Final ยท TCU 23โ€“17 West VirginiaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.7-point title-game boost

TCU won instead, so BYU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection45% if West Virginia won42% with the other result2.7-point differenceBYU Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Houston
at
Arizona State
Final ยท Houston 24โ€“16 Arizona StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.0-point title-game boost

Arizona State lost, improving BYU's place in the Big 12 standings.

Entering-week projection44% if Houston won42% with the other result2-point differenceBYU Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 4
Rooted for
Colorado
at
Utah
Final ยท Colorado 7โ€“53 UtahWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

Utah won instead, so BYU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection25% if Colorado won23% with the other result1.3-point differenceBYU playoff chance
48 other games had little impact
Baylor at Cincinnati ยท ESPN2
Kennesaw State at Florida International ยท ESPNU
Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech ยท CBSSN
Middle Tennessee at Delaware ยท ESPN2
Missouri State at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
South Alabama at Georgia State ยท ESPN2
North Texas at Charlotte ยท ESPN2
California at Virginia Tech ยท ESPN
Boise State at Nevada ยท CBSSN
Ole Miss at Oklahoma ยท ABC
Northwestern at Nebraska ยท FS1
Rutgers at Purdue ยท BTN
UCLA at Indiana ยท FOX
SMU at Wake Forest ยท The CW Network
Syracuse at Georgia Tech ยท ESPN
Virginia at North Carolina ยท ACC Network
Kansas State at Kansas ยท TNT
App State at Old Dominion ยท ESPNU
South Florida at Memphis ยท ESPN2
Bowling Green at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Ohio at Eastern Michigan ยท CBSSN
Auburn at Arkansas ยท SEC Network
Akron at Buffalo ยท ESPN+
UConn at Rice ยท ESPN+
Utah State at New Mexico
Alabama at South Carolina ยท ABC
Missouri at Vanderbilt ยท ESPN
Illinois at Washington ยท BTN
Minnesota at Iowa ยท CBS
Toledo at Washington State ยท The CW Network
NC State at Pittsburgh ยท ACC Network
San Diego State at Fresno State ยท FS1
UL Monroe at Southern Miss ยท ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Navy ยท CBSSN
Temple at Tulsa ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN+
Massachusetts at Central Michigan ยท ESPN+
Western Michigan at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
Texas at Mississippi State ยท SEC Network
Wisconsin at Oregon ยท FS1
Stanford at Miami ยท ESPN
Georgia Southern at Arkansas State ยท ESPN+
Louisiana at Troy ยท ESPN+
Texas A&M at LSU ยท ABC
Michigan at Michigan State ยท NBC
Boston College at Louisville ยท ACC Network
Colorado State at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
Tennessee at Kentucky ยท SEC Network
The rooting list was:BYU, then Oklahoma State, West Virginia, Houston, Colorado.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9). How the model works.