๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#11BYU Cougars

9โ€“1 ยท 6โ€“1 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 13 ยท 2025
The Week 13 recap

BYU beat Cincinnati. Playoff odds moved from 36% to 34%.

Your game

BYU at Cincinnati
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Big 12 title-game chanceEntering75%Win96%Loss38%
BYU
BYU 65%Cincinnati 35%
Cincinnati
Final ยท BYU 26โ€“14 CincinnatiWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result BYU wanted
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Impact 1
Arizona State
at
Rooted for
Colorado
Final ยท Arizona State 42โ€“17 ColoradoWent the other way โœ—
Projected 15.5-point title-game boost

Arizona State won instead, so BYU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection86% if Colorado won71% with the other result16-point differenceBYU Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
Kansas State
at
Utah
Final ยท Kansas State 47โ€“51 UtahWent the other way โœ—
Projected 4.5-point playoff boost

Utah won instead, so BYU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection40% if Kansas State won35% with the other result4.5-point differenceBYU playoff chance
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Impact 3
Miami
at
Rooted for
Virginia Tech
Final ยท Miami 34โ€“17 Virginia TechWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.0-point playoff boost

Miami won instead, so BYU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection39% if Virginia Tech won36% with the other result3-point differenceBYU playoff chance
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Impact 4
Rooted for
Missouri
at
Oklahoma
Final ยท Missouri 6โ€“17 OklahomaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.8-point playoff boost

Oklahoma won instead, so BYU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection38% if Missouri won35% with the other result2.8-point differenceBYU playoff chance
55 other games had little impact
TCU at Houston ยท FOX
Baylor at Arizona ยท TNT
Akron at Bowling Green ยท ESPNU
Massachusetts at Ohio ยท CBSSN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Buffalo ยท ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent State ยท ESPNU
Louisiana at Arkansas State ยท ESPN
Florida State at NC State ยท ESPN
Hawai'i at UNLV ยท FS1
Minnesota at Northwestern ยท BTN
Rutgers at Ohio State ยท FOX
Louisville at SMU ยท ESPN2
Delaware at Wake Forest ยท ACC Network
Kansas at Iowa State ยท FS1
Tulsa at Army ยท CBSSN
Charlotte at Georgia ยท SEC Network
Washington State at James Madison ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
Missouri State at Kennesaw State ยท ESPN+
Nevada at Wyoming
Ball State at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Marshall at App State ยท ESPN+
UConn at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Liberty at Louisiana Tech ยท ESPN+
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN+
New Mexico State at UTEP ยท ESPN+
South Florida at UAB ยท ESPN+
Arkansas at Texas ยท ABC
Kentucky at Vanderbilt ยท ESPN
USC at Oregon ยท CBS
Michigan State at Iowa ยท FS1
Duke at North Carolina ยท ACC Network
Syracuse at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Jacksonville State at Florida International ยท CBSSN
Southern Miss at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
East Carolina at UTSA ยท ESPN+
Tulane at Temple ยท ESPNU
Michigan at Maryland ยท BTN
Oklahoma State at UCF ยท ESPN+
Georgia State at Troy ยท ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
UL Monroe at Texas State ยท ESPN+
Nebraska at Penn State ยท NBC
Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech ยท ESPN
New Mexico at Air Force ยท CBSSN
Colorado State at Boise State ยท FS1
Tennessee at Florida ยท ABC
Illinois at Wisconsin ยท BTN
California at Stanford ยท ACC Network
North Texas at Rice ยท ESPNU
Western Kentucky at LSU ยท SEC Network
Washington at UCLA ยท NBC
Utah State at Fresno State ยท CBSSN
San Josรฉ State at San Diego State ยท FS1
The rooting list was:BYU, then Colorado, Kansas State, Virginia Tech, Missouri.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13). How the model works.