๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#18BYU Cougars

5โ€“0 ยท 2โ€“0 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 7 ยท 2025
The Week 7 recap

BYU beat Arizona. Playoff odds moved from 14% to 17%.

Your game

BYU at Arizona
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Big 12 title-game chanceEntering26%Win33%Loss12%
BYU
BYU 70%Arizona 30%
Arizona
Final ยท BYU 33โ€“27 ArizonaWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result BYU wanted
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Impact 1
Arizona State
at
Rooted for
Utah
Final ยท Arizona State 10โ€“42 UtahWish granted โœ“
Projected 5.8-point title-game boost

Arizona State lost, improving BYU's place in the Big 12 standings.

Entering-week projection29% if Utah won23% with the other result5.8-point differenceBYU Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 2
Charlotte
at
Rooted for
Army
Final ยท Charlotte 7โ€“24 ArmyWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.9-point playoff boost

Army won, thinning out the at-large competition for BYU's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection14% if Army won12% with the other result1.9-point differenceBYU playoff chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
UCF
at
Cincinnati
Final ยท UCF 11โ€“20 CincinnatiWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.5-point title-game boost

Cincinnati won instead, so BYU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection28% if UCF won25% with the other result2.5-point differenceBYU Big 12 title-game chance
52 other games had little impact
Kansas at Texas Tech ยท FOX
Iowa State at Colorado ยท ESPN
TCU at Kansas State ยท FOX
Missouri State at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN2
Liberty at UTEP ยท CBSSN
Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State ยท ESPNU
East Carolina at Tulane ยท ESPN
Jacksonville State at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Southern Miss at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN2
South Florida at North Texas ยท ESPN2
Rutgers at Washington ยท FS1
Fresno State at Colorado State ยท CBSSN
Alabama at Missouri ยท ABC
UCLA at Michigan State ยท BTN
Ohio State at Illinois ยท FOX
Pittsburgh at Florida State ยท ESPN
Stanford at SMU ยท The CW Network
Houston at Oklahoma State ยท TNT
Louisiana at James Madison ยท ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Akron ยท ESPN+
Toledo at Bowling Green ยท ESPNU
Washington State at Ole Miss ยท SEC Network
Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan ยท ESPN+
Massachusetts at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma at Texas ยท ABC
Northwestern at Penn State ยท FS1
Nebraska at Maryland ยท BTN
Indiana at Oregon ยท CBS
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech ยท ACC Network
NC State at Notre Dame ยท Peacock
Wake Forest at Oregon State ยท The CW Network
Air Force at UNLV ยท CBSSN
App State at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Western Michigan ยท ESPN+
Navy at Temple ยท ESPN2
Arkansas at Tennessee ยท SEC Network
UAB at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Florida at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
Iowa at Wisconsin ยท FS1
San Josรฉ State at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
Georgia at Auburn ยท ABC
Purdue at Minnesota ยท BTN
Michigan at USC ยท NBC
Clemson at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Rice at UTSA ยท ESPNU
South Carolina at LSU ยท SEC Network
Troy at Texas State ยท ESPN+
New Mexico at Boise State ยท FS1
San Diego State at Nevada ยท CBSSN
Utah State at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:BYU, then Utah, Army, UCF.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.