#12BYU Cougars
8–1 · 5–1 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 12 · 2025
48%
Big 12 title game
11%
Win the Big 12
12%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.9
How the week went: playoff odds 12% → 18% · title-game odds 48% → 76%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves BYU's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN
TCU at #12 BYU
Your game. Beat TCU and your playoff odds are 16%; lose and they drop to 5%.
Final · TCU 13–44 BYUWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · truTV
West Virginia at Arizona State
Big 12 race: Arizona State losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat West Virginia — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · West Virginia 23–25 Arizona StateWent the other way ✗
Root for West Virginia+12.2 pp title-game odds
…
… · FS1
Arizona at #25 Cincinnati
Big 12 race: Cincinnati losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Arizona — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play Cincinnati in week 13.
Final · Arizona 30–24 CincinnatiWish granted ✓
Root for Arizona+11.3 pp title-game odds
…
… · FOX
UCF at #6 Texas Tech
Big 12 race: Texas Tech losing helps your spot in the standings; Texas Tech losing softens the sting of your loss to them; UCF visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.
Final · UCF 9–48 Texas TechWent the other way ✗
Root for UCF+10.5 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN2
#13 Utah at Baylor
You already beat Utah; them losing again keeps them behind you.
Final · Utah 55–28 BaylorWent the other way ✗
Root for Baylor+3.6 pp playoff odds
53 more games that don't move your needle
Texas at Georgia · ABC
Kent State at Akron · ESPNU
Ohio at Western Michigan · ESPN2
Buffalo at Central Michigan · CBSSN
Northern Illinois at Massachusetts · ESPNU
Toledo at Miami (OH) · ESPN2
Troy at Old Dominion · ESPN
Clemson at Louisville · ESPN
Minnesota at Oregon · FOX
South Carolina at Texas A&M · ESPN
Wisconsin at Indiana · BTN
Michigan at Northwestern · FOX
Notre Dame at Pittsburgh · ABC
Kansas State at Oklahoma State · ESPNU
Air Force at UConn · CBSSN
UTSA at Charlotte · ESPN+
South Florida at Navy · ESPN2
Eastern Michigan at Ball State · ESPN+
Arkansas at LSU · SEC Network
Oregon State at Tulsa · The CW Network
Marshall at Georgia State · ESPN+
North Texas at UAB · ESPN+
UTEP at Missouri State · ESPN+
Colorado State at New Mexico
Oklahoma at Alabama · ABC
Penn State at Michigan State · CBS
Maryland at Illinois · FS1
Iowa at USC · BTN
Georgia Tech at Boston College · ACC Network
Virginia at Duke · ESPN2
NC State at Miami · ESPN
Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
San José State at Nevada · CBSSN
App State at James Madison · ESPN+
South Alabama at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Texas State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Memphis at East Carolina · ESPNU
Florida Atlantic at Tulane · ESPN+
New Mexico State at Tennessee · SEC Network
North Carolina at Wake Forest · The CW Network
Liberty at Florida International · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Florida at Ole Miss · ESPN
Purdue at Washington · FS1
Delaware at Sam Houston · ESPN+
Utah State at UNLV · CBSSN
UCLA at Ohio State · NBC
Virginia Tech at Florida State · ACC Network
Mississippi State at Missouri · SEC Network
Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State · ESPNU
Louisiana Tech at Washington State · The CW Network
Boise State at San Diego State · CBSSN
Wyoming at Fresno State · FS1
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 12, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 12).