🏈 Fan Watch

#11BYU Cougars

10–1 · 7–1 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 14 · 2025
The Week 14 recap

BYU beat UCF. Playoff odds moved from 34% to 47%.

Your game

UCF at BYU
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ESPN2
Big 12 title-game chanceEntering94%Win100%Loss42%
UCF
UCF 10%BYU 90%
BYU
Final · UCF 21–41 BYUWish granted ✓

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result BYU wanted
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FOX
Impact 1
Rooted for
Arizona
at
Arizona State
Final · Arizona 23–7 Arizona StateWish granted ✓
Projected 9.2-point title-game boost

Arizona State lost, improving BYU's place in the Big 12 standings.

Entering-week projection100% if Arizona won91% with the other result9.2-point differenceBYU Big 12 title-game chance
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ESPN
Impact 2
Texas Tech
at
Rooted for
West Virginia
Final · Texas Tech 49–0 West VirginiaWent the other way ✗
Projected 5.9-point title-game boost

Texas Tech won instead, so BYU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection100% if West Virginia won94% with the other result5.9-point differenceBYU Big 12 title-game chance
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ABC
Impact 3
Rooted for
LSU
at
Oklahoma
Final · LSU 13–17 OklahomaWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.8-point playoff boost

Oklahoma won instead, so BYU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection37% if LSU won33% with the other result3.8-point differenceBYU playoff chance
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ABC
Impact 4
Alabama
at
Rooted for
Auburn
Final · Alabama 27–20 AuburnWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.7-point playoff boost

Alabama won instead, so BYU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection37% if Auburn won33% with the other result3.7-point differenceBYU playoff chance
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ABC
Impact 5
Ole Miss
at
Rooted for
Mississippi State
Final · Ole Miss 38–19 Mississippi StateWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.6-point playoff boost

Ole Miss won instead, so BYU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection37% if Mississippi State won34% with the other result3.6-point differenceBYU playoff chance
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ESPN
Impact 6
Utah
at
Rooted for
Kansas
Final · Utah 31–21 KansasWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.8-point playoff boost

Utah won instead, so BYU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection36% if Kansas won34% with the other result2.8-point differenceBYU playoff chance
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ESPN
Impact 7
Vanderbilt
at
Rooted for
Tennessee
Final · Vanderbilt 45–24 TennesseeWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.7-point playoff boost

Vanderbilt won instead, so BYU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection35% if Tennessee won32% with the other result2.7-point differenceBYU playoff chance
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FOX
Impact 8
Rooted for
Ohio State
at
Michigan
Final · Ohio State 27–9 MichiganWish granted ✓
Projected 2.5-point playoff boost

Ohio State won, thinning out the at-large competition for BYU's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection34% if Ohio State won32% with the other result2.5-point differenceBYU playoff chance
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CBS
Impact 9
Oregon
at
Rooted for
Washington
Final · Oregon 26–14 WashingtonWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.4-point playoff boost

Oregon won instead, so BYU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection36% if Washington won33% with the other result2.4-point differenceBYU playoff chance
57 other games had little impact
UAB at Tulsa · ESPN+
Bowling Green at Massachusetts · ESPNU
Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan · ESPN2
Navy at Memphis · ESPN
Iowa at Nebraska · CBS
Ohio at Buffalo · ESPNU
Kent State at Northern Illinois · CBSSN
Air Force at Colorado State · FS1
Georgia at Georgia Tech · ABC
San Diego State at New Mexico · CBSSN
Temple at North Texas · ESPN
Boise State at Utah State · CBS
Texas A&M at Texas · ABC
Indiana at Purdue · NBC
Kentucky at Louisville · ACC Network
Clemson at South Carolina · SEC Network
Miami at Pittsburgh · ABC
Houston at Baylor · TNT
Colorado at Kansas State · FS1
Iowa State at Oklahoma State · ESPNU
East Carolina at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Toledo at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Ball State at Miami (OH) · CBSSN
UTEP at Delaware · ESPN+
Florida International at Sam Houston · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Marshall · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at Missouri State · ESPN+
Georgia State at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Arkansas State at App State · ESPN+
Boston College at Syracuse · The CW Network
Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State · ESPN+
UL Monroe at Louisiana · ESPN+
South Alabama at Texas State · ESPN+
Missouri at Arkansas · SEC Network
Wisconsin at Minnesota · FS1
Penn State at Rutgers · BTN
Wake Forest at Duke · ACC Network
Cincinnati at TCU · FOX
Kennesaw State at Liberty · CBSSN
Troy at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Army at UTSA · ESPN+
James Madison at Coastal Carolina · ESPNU
Florida State at Florida · ESPN2
Oregon State at Washington State · The CW Network
Maryland at Michigan State · FS1
Virginia Tech at Virginia · ESPN
Rice at South Florida · ESPN+
UCLA at USC · NBC
Northwestern at Illinois · FOX
North Carolina at NC State · ACC Network
Charlotte at Tulane · ESPNU
SMU at California · ESPN2
UNLV at Nevada · CBSSN
Notre Dame at Stanford · ESPN
Fresno State at San José State · FS1
Wyoming at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:BYU, then Arizona, West Virginia, LSU, Auburn, Mississippi State, Kansas, Tennessee, Ohio State, Washington.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 14, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 14). How the model works.