#11BYU Cougars
10–1 · 7–1 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 14 · 2025
94%
Big 12 title game
21%
Win the Big 12
21%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 9.7
How the week went: playoff odds 21% → 67% · title-game odds 94% → 100%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves BYU's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN2
UCF at #11 BYU
Your game. Beat UCF and your playoff odds are 23%; lose and they drop to 10%.
Final · UCF 21–41 BYUWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ESPN
#5 Texas Tech at West Virginia
You beat West Virginia — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play Texas Tech in week 15.
Final · Texas Tech 49–0 West VirginiaWent the other way ✗
Root for West Virginia+8.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
#25 Arizona at #20 Arizona State
Big 12 race: Arizona State losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Arizona — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · Arizona 23–7 Arizona StateWish granted ✓
Root for Arizona+9.5 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · The CW Network
Oregon State at Washington State
Oregon State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Oregon State 8–32 Washington StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Oregon State+1.9 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
#13 Utah at Kansas
You already beat Utah; them losing again keeps them behind you.
Final · Utah 31–21 KansasWent the other way ✗
Root for Kansas+1.8 pp playoff odds
62 more games that don't move your needle
Bowling Green at Massachusetts · ESPNU
Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan · ESPN2
Navy at Memphis · ESPN
Ole Miss at Mississippi State · ABC
Iowa at Nebraska · CBS
Ohio at Buffalo · ESPNU
Kent State at Northern Illinois · CBSSN
Air Force at Colorado State · FS1
Georgia at Georgia Tech · ABC
San Diego State at New Mexico · CBSSN
Temple at North Texas · ESPN
Boise State at Utah State · CBS
Texas A&M at Texas · ABC
Indiana at Purdue · NBC
Kentucky at Louisville · ACC Network
Clemson at South Carolina · SEC Network
Ohio State at Michigan · FOX
Miami at Pittsburgh · ABC
Houston at Baylor · TNT
Colorado at Kansas State · FS1
Iowa State at Oklahoma State · ESPNU
East Carolina at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Toledo at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Ball State at Miami (OH) · CBSSN
UTEP at Delaware · ESPN+
Florida International at Sam Houston · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Marshall · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at Missouri State · ESPN+
Georgia State at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Arkansas State at App State · ESPN+
Boston College at Syracuse · The CW Network
Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State · ESPN+
UL Monroe at Louisiana · ESPN+
South Alabama at Texas State · ESPN+
UAB at Tulsa · ESPN+
Missouri at Arkansas · SEC Network
LSU at Oklahoma · ABC
Vanderbilt at Tennessee · ESPN
Oregon at Washington · CBS
Wisconsin at Minnesota · FS1
Penn State at Rutgers · BTN
Wake Forest at Duke · ACC Network
Cincinnati at TCU · FOX
Kennesaw State at Liberty · CBSSN
Troy at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Army at UTSA · ESPN+
James Madison at Coastal Carolina · ESPNU
Florida State at Florida · ESPN2
Maryland at Michigan State · FS1
Virginia Tech at Virginia · ESPN
Rice at South Florida · ESPN+
Alabama at Auburn · ABC
UCLA at USC · NBC
Northwestern at Illinois · FOX
North Carolina at NC State · ACC Network
Charlotte at Tulane · ESPNU
SMU at California · ESPN2
UNLV at Nevada · CBSSN
Notre Dame at Stanford · ESPN
Fresno State at San José State · FS1
Wyoming at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 14, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 14).