๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

TCU Horned Frogs

5โ€“2 ยท 2โ€“2 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 9 ยท 2025
The Week 9 recap

TCU beat West Virginia. Playoff odds moved from 8% to 5%.

Your game

TCU at West Virginia
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Big 12 title-game chanceEntering14%Win16%Loss2%
TCU
TCU 88%West Virginia 12%
West Virginia
Final ยท TCU 23โ€“17 West VirginiaWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result TCU wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Houston
at
Arizona State
Final ยท Houston 24โ€“16 Arizona StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 3.9-point title-game boost

Arizona State lost, improving TCU's place in the Big 12 standings.

Entering-week projection17% if Houston won13% with the other result3.9-point differenceTCU Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
Colorado
at
Utah
Final ยท Colorado 7โ€“53 UtahWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.3-point title-game boost

Utah won instead, so TCU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection16% if Colorado won13% with the other result3.3-point differenceTCU Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 3
BYU
at
Rooted for
Iowa State
Final ยท BYU 41โ€“27 Iowa StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.4-point title-game boost

BYU won instead, so TCU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection15% if Iowa State won13% with the other result2.4-point differenceTCU Big 12 title-game chance
49 other games had little impact
Baylor at Cincinnati ยท ESPN2
Kennesaw State at Florida International ยท ESPNU
Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech ยท CBSSN
Middle Tennessee at Delaware ยท ESPN2
Missouri State at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
South Alabama at Georgia State ยท ESPN2
North Texas at Charlotte ยท ESPN2
California at Virginia Tech ยท ESPN
Boise State at Nevada ยท CBSSN
Ole Miss at Oklahoma ยท ABC
Northwestern at Nebraska ยท FS1
Rutgers at Purdue ยท BTN
UCLA at Indiana ยท FOX
SMU at Wake Forest ยท The CW Network
Syracuse at Georgia Tech ยท ESPN
Virginia at North Carolina ยท ACC Network
Kansas State at Kansas ยท TNT
App State at Old Dominion ยท ESPNU
South Florida at Memphis ยท ESPN2
Bowling Green at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Ohio at Eastern Michigan ยท CBSSN
Auburn at Arkansas ยท SEC Network
Akron at Buffalo ยท ESPN+
UConn at Rice ยท ESPN+
Utah State at New Mexico
Alabama at South Carolina ยท ABC
Missouri at Vanderbilt ยท ESPN
Illinois at Washington ยท BTN
Minnesota at Iowa ยท CBS
Toledo at Washington State ยท The CW Network
NC State at Pittsburgh ยท ACC Network
San Diego State at Fresno State ยท FS1
UL Monroe at Southern Miss ยท ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Navy ยท CBSSN
Temple at Tulsa ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN+
Massachusetts at Central Michigan ยท ESPN+
Western Michigan at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma State at Texas Tech ยท ESPNU
Texas at Mississippi State ยท SEC Network
Wisconsin at Oregon ยท FS1
Stanford at Miami ยท ESPN
Georgia Southern at Arkansas State ยท ESPN+
Louisiana at Troy ยท ESPN+
Texas A&M at LSU ยท ABC
Michigan at Michigan State ยท NBC
Boston College at Louisville ยท ACC Network
Colorado State at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
Tennessee at Kentucky ยท SEC Network
The rooting list was:TCU, then Houston, Colorado, Iowa State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9). How the model works.