TCU Horned Frogs
2–0 · 0–0 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 4 · 2025
32%
Big 12 title game
19%
Win the Big 12
19%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 10.6
How the week went: playoff odds 19% → 16% · title-game odds 32% → 30%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves TCU's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN
SMU at TCU
Your game. Beat SMU and your playoff odds are 21%; lose and they drop to 15%.
Final · SMU 24–35 TCUWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · FS1
West Virginia at Kansas
Big 12 race: Kansas losing helps your spot in the standings; West Virginia visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.
Final · West Virginia 10–41 KansasWent the other way ✗
Root for West Virginia+3.3 pp title-game odds
…
… · FOX
Arizona State at Baylor
Baylor visits your schedule in week 8 — keep them ranked.
Final · Arizona State 27–24 BaylorWent the other way ✗
Root for Baylor+2.1 pp playoff odds
47 more games that don't move your needle
Rice at Charlotte · ESPN
Tulsa at Oklahoma State · ESPN
Iowa at Rutgers · FOX
Arkansas at Memphis · ABC
Maryland at Wisconsin · NBC
Syracuse at Clemson · ESPN
Bowling Green at Louisville · ACC Network
Texas Tech at Utah · FOX
UNLV at Miami (OH) · ESPNU
North Texas at Army · CBSSN
UAB at Tennessee · SEC Network
Oregon State at Oregon · BTN
Tulane at Ole Miss · ESPN
Auburn at Oklahoma · ABC
Michigan at Nebraska · CBS
Purdue at Notre Dame · NBC
Kent State at Florida State · ACC Network
North Carolina at UCF · FOX
Ball State at UConn · CBSSN
James Madison at Liberty · ESPNU
Louisiana at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
Troy at Buffalo · ESPN+
Toledo at Western Michigan · ESPN+
NC State at Duke · ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Temple at Georgia Tech · The CW Network
Delaware at Florida International · ESPN+
Arkansas State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
South Carolina at Missouri · ESPN
Marshall at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Nevada at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Boise State at Air Force · CBSSN
Coastal Carolina at South Alabama · ESPN+
Florida at Miami · ABC
Georgia State at Vanderbilt · ESPNU
Washington at Washington State · CBS
Illinois at Indiana · NBC
Stanford at Virginia · ACC Network
BYU at East Carolina · ESPN2
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Sam Houston at Texas · ESPN+
UL Monroe at UTEP · ESPN+
UTSA at Colorado State · FS1
Wyoming at Colorado · ESPN
California at San Diego State · CBSSN
Michigan State at USC · FOX
Fresno State at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 4).