#24TCU Horned Frogs
3–0 · 0–0 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 5 · 2025
30%
Big 12 title game
16%
Win the Big 12
16%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 10.6
How the week went: playoff odds 16% → 10% · title-game odds 30% → 18%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves TCU's pathYour game
…
… · FOX
#24 TCU at Arizona State
Your game. Beat Arizona State and your playoff odds are 27%; lose and they drop to 8%.
Final · TCU 24–27 Arizona StateWent the other way ✗
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN
#25 BYU at Colorado
Colorado visits your schedule in week 6 — keep them ranked.
Final · BYU 24–21 ColoradoWent the other way ✗
Root for Colorado+2.2 pp playoff odds
…
… · TNT
Cincinnati at Kansas
Big 12 race: Kansas losing helps your spot in the standings; Cincinnati visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.
Final · Cincinnati 37–34 KansasWish granted ✓
Root for Cincinnati+2.7 pp title-game odds
48 more games that don't move your needle
UCF at Kansas State · FS1
Army at East Carolina · ESPN
Florida State at Virginia · ESPN
Houston at Oregon State · ESPN
Notre Dame at Arkansas · ABC
Rutgers at Minnesota · BTN
USC at Illinois · FOX
Duke at Syracuse · ACC Network
Georgia Tech at Wake Forest · ESPN
Louisville at Pittsburgh · ESPN2
South Alabama at North Texas · ESPNU
Bowling Green at Ohio · CBSSN
Utah State at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at James Madison · ESPN+
Arkansas State at UL Monroe · ESPN+
LSU at Ole Miss · ABC
Auburn at Texas A&M · ESPN
UCLA at Northwestern · BTN
Ohio State at Washington · CBS
Indiana at Iowa · Peacock
California at Boston College · ACC Network
Baylor at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Utah at West Virginia · FOX
UConn at Buffalo · ESPN+
San Diego State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Rice at Navy · CBSSN
Akron at Toledo · ESPN+
New Mexico State at New Mexico
Hawai'i at Air Force · FS1
Tulane at Tulsa · ESPNU
Tennessee at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Liberty at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Virginia Tech at NC State · The CW Network
Arizona at Iowa State · ESPN
Jacksonville State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Missouri State · ESPN+
Memphis at Florida Atlantic · ESPN2
Alabama at Georgia · ABC
Massachusetts at Missouri · ESPNU
Oregon at Penn State · NBC
Washington State at Colorado State · CBSSN
San José State at Stanford · ACC Network
App State at Boise State · FS1
Kentucky at South Carolina · SEC Network
Marshall at Louisiana · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at UTEP · ESPN+
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5).