๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

TCU Horned Frogs

4โ€“2 ยท 1โ€“2 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 8 ยท 2025
The Week 8 recap

TCU beat Baylor. Playoff odds moved from 6% to 8%.

Your game

Baylor at TCU
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Big 12 title-game chanceEntering9%Win11%Loss<1%
Baylor
Baylor 24%TCU 76%
TCU
Final ยท Baylor 36โ€“42 TCUWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result TCU wanted
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Impact 1
Utah
at
Rooted for
BYU
Final ยท Utah 21โ€“24 BYUWish granted โœ“
Projected 3.5-point title-game boost

Utah lost, improving TCU's place in the Big 12 standings.

Entering-week projection10% if BYU won7% with the other result3.5-point differenceTCU Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 2
Texas Tech
at
Rooted for
Arizona State
Final ยท Texas Tech 22โ€“26 Arizona StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.5-point playoff boost

Arizona State won, thinning out the at-large competition for TCU's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection7% if Arizona State won6% with the other result1.5-point differenceTCU playoff chance
56 other games had little impact
New Mexico State at Liberty ยท CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama ยท ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky ยท ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State ยท ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina ยท ESPN
Louisville at Miami ยท ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota ยท FOX
San Josรฉ State at Utah State ยท CBSSN
North Carolina at California ยท ESPN
LSU at Vanderbilt ยท ABC
Washington at Michigan ยท FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke ยท ESPN
UConn at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Arizona at Houston ยท FS1
Army at Tulane ยท ESPNU
Central Michigan at Bowling Green ยท CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
West Virginia at UCF ยท TNT
Kent State at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern ยท BTN
Troy at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
Texas A&M at Arkansas ยท ESPN
Ole Miss at Georgia ยท ABC
Ohio State at Wisconsin ยท CBS
Michigan State at Indiana ยท Peacock
SMU at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force ยท CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State ยท FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison ยท ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas ยท ESPN+
Akron at Ball State ยท ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio ยท ESPN+
Memphis at UAB ยท ESPN2
Mississippi State at Florida ยท SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Oregon at Rutgers ยท BTN
Washington State at Virginia ยท The CW Network
Texas at Kentucky ยท ESPN
Penn State at Iowa ยท Peacock
Maryland at UCLA ยท FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
Tennessee at Alabama ยท ABC
USC at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Pittsburgh at Syracuse ยท ACC Network
Florida Atlantic at South Florida ยท ESPNU
Missouri at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State ยท ESPN2
Nevada at New Mexico ยท FS1
Florida State at Stanford ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:TCU, then BYU, Arizona State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.