TCU Horned Frogs
4–1 · 1–1 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 7 · 2025
24%
Big 12 title game
13%
Win the Big 12
13%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 10.7
How the week went: playoff odds 13% → 4% · title-game odds 24% → 9%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves TCU's pathYour game
…
… · FOX
TCU at Kansas State
Your game. Beat Kansas State and your playoff odds are 20%; lose and they drop to 5%.
Final · TCU 28–41 Kansas StateWent the other way ✗
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · FOX
Kansas at #9 Texas Tech
Kansas winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Kansas 17–42 Texas TechWent the other way ✗
Root for Kansas+2.1 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
#22 Iowa State at Colorado
Big 12 race: Iowa State losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Colorado — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play Iowa State in week 11.
Final · Iowa State 17–24 ColoradoWish granted ✓
Root for Colorado+2.3 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN2
#18 BYU at Arizona
Big 12 race: BYU losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play BYU in week 12.
Final · BYU 33–27 ArizonaWent the other way ✗
Root for Arizona+2.1 pp title-game odds
52 more games that don't move your needle
Arizona State at Utah · ESPN
Missouri State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Liberty at UTEP · CBSSN
Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State · ESPNU
East Carolina at Tulane · ESPN
Jacksonville State at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Southern Miss at Georgia Southern · ESPN2
South Florida at North Texas · ESPN2
Rutgers at Washington · FS1
Fresno State at Colorado State · CBSSN
Alabama at Missouri · ABC
UCLA at Michigan State · BTN
Ohio State at Illinois · FOX
Pittsburgh at Florida State · ESPN
Stanford at SMU · The CW Network
UCF at Cincinnati · FS1
Houston at Oklahoma State · TNT
Louisiana at James Madison · ESPN2
Charlotte at Army · CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Akron · ESPN+
Toledo at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Washington State at Ole Miss · SEC Network
Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Kent State · ESPN+
Oklahoma at Texas · ABC
Northwestern at Penn State · FS1
Nebraska at Maryland · BTN
Indiana at Oregon · CBS
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech · ACC Network
NC State at Notre Dame · Peacock
Wake Forest at Oregon State · The CW Network
Air Force at UNLV · CBSSN
App State at Georgia State · ESPN+
Old Dominion at Marshall · ESPN+
Ball State at Western Michigan · ESPN+
Navy at Temple · ESPN2
Arkansas at Tennessee · SEC Network
UAB at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Florida at Texas A&M · ESPN
Iowa at Wisconsin · FS1
San José State at Wyoming · CBSSN
UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Georgia at Auburn · ABC
Purdue at Minnesota · BTN
Michigan at USC · NBC
Clemson at Boston College · ACC Network
Rice at UTSA · ESPNU
South Carolina at LSU · SEC Network
Troy at Texas State · ESPN+
New Mexico at Boise State · FS1
San Diego State at Nevada · CBSSN
Utah State at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7).