#5Texas Tech Red Raiders

10–1 · 7–1 BIG 12

In the books

WEEK 13 · 2025

98%

Big 12 title game

75%

Win the Big 12

100%

Make the playoff

47%

First-round bye

avg seed 4.5

How the week went: playoff odds 100% → 100%.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Texas Tech's path

Big swingsthese move your odds the most

…

… · SEC Network

Charlotte at #4 Georgia

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Charlotte winning protects it.

Final · Charlotte 3–35 GeorgiaWent the other way ✗

Root for Charlotte+38.1 pp first-round-bye odds

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

…

… · ESPN

Kentucky at #14 Vanderbilt

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Vanderbilt winning protects it.

Final · Kentucky 17–45 VanderbiltWish granted ✓

Root for Vanderbilt+5.9 pp first-round-bye odds

…

… · FOX

#11 BYU at Cincinnati

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Cincinnati winning protects it; you already beat BYU; them losing again keeps them behind you; you still play BYU in week 15.

Final · BYU 26–14 CincinnatiWent the other way ✗

Root for Cincinnati+3.4 pp first-round-bye odds

…

… · ABC

Arkansas at #17 Texas

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Arkansas winning protects it.

Final · Arkansas 37–52 TexasWent the other way ✗

Root for Arkansas+3.0 pp first-round-bye odds

…

… · ESPN2

#25 Arizona State at Colorado

Big 12 race: Arizona State losing helps your spot in the standings; Arizona State losing softens the sting of your loss to them.

Final · Arizona State 42–17 ColoradoWent the other way ✗

Root for Colorado+2.0 pp title-game odds

55 more games that don't move your needle

Tennessee at Florida · ABC

Akron at Bowling Green · ESPNU

Massachusetts at Ohio · CBSSN

Western Michigan at Northern Illinois · ESPN2

Miami (OH) at Buffalo · ESPN2

Central Michigan at Kent State · ESPNU

Louisiana at Arkansas State · ESPN

Florida State at NC State · ESPN

Hawai'i at UNLV · FS1

Missouri at Oklahoma · ABC

Minnesota at Northwestern · BTN

Rutgers at Ohio State · FOX

Louisville at SMU · ESPN2

Miami at Virginia Tech · ESPN

Delaware at Wake Forest · ACC Network

Kansas at Iowa State · FS1

Tulsa at Army · CBSSN

Washington State at James Madison · ESPN+

Baylor at Arizona · TNT

Old Dominion at Georgia Southern · ESPN+

Missouri State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+

Nevada at Wyoming

Ball State at Toledo · ESPN+

Marshall at App State · ESPN+

UConn at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+

Liberty at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+

Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+

New Mexico State at UTEP · ESPN+

South Florida at UAB · ESPN+

USC at Oregon · CBS

Michigan State at Iowa · FS1

Duke at North Carolina · ACC Network

Syracuse at Notre Dame · NBC

Jacksonville State at Florida International · CBSSN

Southern Miss at South Alabama · ESPN+

East Carolina at UTSA · ESPN+

Tulane at Temple · ESPNU

Michigan at Maryland · BTN

TCU at Houston · FOX

Oklahoma State at UCF · ESPN+

Kansas State at Utah · ESPN2

Georgia State at Troy · ESPN+

Coastal Carolina at South Carolina · SEC Network

UL Monroe at Texas State · ESPN+

Nebraska at Penn State · NBC

Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech · ESPN

New Mexico at Air Force · CBSSN

Colorado State at Boise State · FS1

Illinois at Wisconsin · BTN

California at Stanford · ACC Network

North Texas at Rice · ESPNU

Western Kentucky at LSU · SEC Network

Washington at UCLA · NBC

Utah State at Fresno State · CBSSN

San José State at San Diego State · FS1

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13).