๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#5Texas Tech Red Raiders

10โ€“1 ยท 7โ€“1 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 13 ยท 2025
The Week 13 recap

Texas Tech was off. Playoff odds moved from 93% to 91%.

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Texas Tech wanted
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Impact 1
Arizona State
at
Rooted for
Colorado
Final ยท Arizona State 42โ€“17 ColoradoWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.4-point title-game boost

Arizona State won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection>99% if Colorado won97% with the other result2.4-point differenceTexas Tech Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
BYU
at
Cincinnati
Final ยท BYU 26โ€“14 CincinnatiWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.8-point first-round-bye boost

BYU won, helping protect Texas Tech's path to a top-four seed and first-round bye.

Entering-week projection59% if BYU won56% with the other result2.8-point differenceTexas Tech first-round bye chance
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Impact 3
Miami
at
Rooted for
Virginia Tech
Final ยท Miami 34โ€“17 Virginia TechWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.5-point playoff boost

Miami won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection95% if Virginia Tech won93% with the other result1.5-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance
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Impact 4
Rooted for
Rutgers
at
Ohio State
Final ยท Rutgers 9โ€“42 Ohio StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected โ‰ˆ0.3 seed lines

Ohio State won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

56 other games had little impact
USC at Oregon ยท CBS
Missouri at Oklahoma ยท ABC
Akron at Bowling Green ยท ESPNU
Massachusetts at Ohio ยท CBSSN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Buffalo ยท ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent State ยท ESPNU
Louisiana at Arkansas State ยท ESPN
Florida State at NC State ยท ESPN
Hawai'i at UNLV ยท FS1
Minnesota at Northwestern ยท BTN
Louisville at SMU ยท ESPN2
Delaware at Wake Forest ยท ACC Network
Kansas at Iowa State ยท FS1
Tulsa at Army ยท CBSSN
Charlotte at Georgia ยท SEC Network
Washington State at James Madison ยท ESPN+
Baylor at Arizona ยท TNT
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
Missouri State at Kennesaw State ยท ESPN+
Nevada at Wyoming
Ball State at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Marshall at App State ยท ESPN+
UConn at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Liberty at Louisiana Tech ยท ESPN+
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN+
New Mexico State at UTEP ยท ESPN+
South Florida at UAB ยท ESPN+
Arkansas at Texas ยท ABC
Kentucky at Vanderbilt ยท ESPN
Michigan State at Iowa ยท FS1
Duke at North Carolina ยท ACC Network
Syracuse at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Jacksonville State at Florida International ยท CBSSN
Southern Miss at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
East Carolina at UTSA ยท ESPN+
Tulane at Temple ยท ESPNU
Michigan at Maryland ยท BTN
TCU at Houston ยท FOX
Oklahoma State at UCF ยท ESPN+
Kansas State at Utah ยท ESPN2
Georgia State at Troy ยท ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
UL Monroe at Texas State ยท ESPN+
Nebraska at Penn State ยท NBC
Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech ยท ESPN
New Mexico at Air Force ยท CBSSN
Colorado State at Boise State ยท FS1
Tennessee at Florida ยท ABC
Illinois at Wisconsin ยท BTN
California at Stanford ยท ACC Network
North Texas at Rice ยท ESPNU
Western Kentucky at LSU ยท SEC Network
Washington at UCLA ยท NBC
Utah State at Fresno State ยท CBSSN
San Josรฉ State at San Diego State ยท FS1
The rooting list was:Texas Tech is off, then Colorado, BYU, Virginia Tech, Rutgers.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13). How the model works.