๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#13Texas Tech Red Raiders

7โ€“1 ยท 4โ€“1 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 10 ยท 2025
The Week 10 recap

Texas Tech beat Kansas State. Playoff odds moved from 48% to 69%.

Your game

Texas Tech at Kansas State
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playoff chanceEntering48%Win62%Loss32%
Texas Tech
Texas Tech 53%Kansas State 47%
Kansas State
Final ยท Texas Tech 43โ€“20 Kansas StateWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Texas Tech wanted
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Impact 1
Cincinnati
at
Rooted for
Utah
Final ยท Cincinnati 14โ€“45 UtahWish granted โœ“
Projected 5.4-point title-game boost

Cincinnati lost, improving Texas Tech's place in the Big 12 standings.

Entering-week projection64% if Utah won59% with the other result5.4-point differenceTexas Tech Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
UCF
at
Baylor
Final ยท UCF 3โ€“30 BaylorWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.3-point playoff boost

Baylor won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection49% if UCF won47% with the other result2.3-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance
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Impact 3
Georgia Tech
at
Rooted for
NC State
Final ยท Georgia Tech 36โ€“48 NC StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.7-point playoff boost

NC State won, thinning out the at-large competition for Texas Tech's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection49% if NC State won47% with the other result1.7-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance
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Impact 4
Arizona State
at
Rooted for
Iowa State
Final ยท Arizona State 24โ€“19 Iowa StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.3-point title-game boost

Arizona State won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection64% if Iowa State won62% with the other result2.3-point differenceTexas Tech Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 5
Rooted for
Central Michigan
at
Western Michigan
Final ยท Central Michigan 21โ€“24 Western MichiganWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.5-point playoff boost

Western Michigan won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection49% if Central Michigan won47% with the other result1.5-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance
46 other games had little impact
West Virginia at Houston ยท FS1
UTEP at Kennesaw State ยท ESPNU
James Madison at Texas State ยท ESPN2
Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN2
Florida International at Missouri State ยท CBSSN
Marshall at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN2
Tulane at UTSA ยท ESPN
Memphis at Rice ยท ESPN2
North Carolina at Syracuse ยท ESPN
Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech ยท CBSSN
Vanderbilt at Texas ยท ABC
Penn State at Ohio State ยท FOX
Rutgers at Illinois ยท NBC
Duke at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Miami at SMU ยท ESPN
UAB at UConn ยท CBSSN
Army at Air Force ยท CBS
Navy at North Texas ยท ESPN2
Buffalo at Bowling Green ยท ESPN+
East Carolina at Temple ยท ESPN+
Louisville at Virginia Tech ยท The CW Network
New Mexico at UNLV
Georgia at Florida ยท ABC
Indiana at Maryland ยท CBS
Michigan State at Minnesota ยท BTN
Pittsburgh at Stanford ยท ACC Network
Notre Dame at Boston College ยท ESPN
Delaware at Liberty ยท CBSSN
New Mexico State at Western Kentucky ยท ESPN+
Fresno State at Boise State ยท FS1
Old Dominion at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
Louisiana at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
Virginia at California ยท ESPN2
Mississippi State at Arkansas ยท SEC Network
Oklahoma State at Kansas ยท ESPN+
South Carolina at Ole Miss ยท ESPN
Purdue at Michigan ยท BTN
Arizona at Colorado ยท FS1
Wyoming at San Diego State ยท CBSSN
Kentucky at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Oklahoma at Tennessee ยท ABC
USC at Nebraska ยท NBC
Washington State at Oregon State ยท CBS
Wake Forest at Florida State ยท ACC Network
Arkansas State at Troy ยท ESPNU
Hawai'i at San Josรฉ State ยท CBSSN
The rooting list was:Texas Tech, then Utah, UCF, NC State, Iowa State, Central Michigan.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 10). How the model works.