๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#8Alabama Crimson Tide

4โ€“1 ยท 2โ€“0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 7 ยท 2025
The Week 7 recap

Alabama beat Missouri. Playoff odds moved from 77% to 80%.

Your game

Alabama at Missouri
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SEC title-game chanceEntering68%Win80%Loss45%
Alabama
Alabama 64%Missouri 36%
Missouri
Final ยท Alabama 27โ€“24 MissouriWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Alabama wanted
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Impact 1
Georgia
at
Rooted for
Auburn
Final ยท Georgia 20โ€“10 AuburnWent the other way โœ—
Projected 4.2-point title-game boost

Georgia won instead, so Alabama did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection71% if Auburn won67% with the other result4.2-point differenceAlabama SEC title-game chance
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Impact 2
Purdue
at
Rooted for
Minnesota
Final ยท Purdue 20โ€“27 MinnesotaWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.6-point playoff boost

Minnesota won, thinning out the at-large competition for Alabama's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection77% if Minnesota won75% with the other result1.6-point differenceAlabama playoff chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Florida
at
Texas A&M
Final ยท Florida 17โ€“34 Texas A&MWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.0-point title-game boost

Texas A&M won instead, so Alabama did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection69% if Florida won67% with the other result2-point differenceAlabama SEC title-game chance
52 other games had little impact
Oklahoma at Texas ยท ABC
Arkansas at Tennessee ยท SEC Network
App State at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Missouri State at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN2
Liberty at UTEP ยท CBSSN
Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State ยท ESPNU
East Carolina at Tulane ยท ESPN
Jacksonville State at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Southern Miss at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN2
South Florida at North Texas ยท ESPN2
Rutgers at Washington ยท FS1
Fresno State at Colorado State ยท CBSSN
UCLA at Michigan State ยท BTN
Ohio State at Illinois ยท FOX
Pittsburgh at Florida State ยท ESPN
Stanford at SMU ยท The CW Network
UCF at Cincinnati ยท FS1
Houston at Oklahoma State ยท TNT
Louisiana at James Madison ยท ESPN2
Charlotte at Army ยท CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Akron ยท ESPN+
Toledo at Bowling Green ยท ESPNU
Washington State at Ole Miss ยท SEC Network
Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan ยท ESPN+
Massachusetts at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Northwestern at Penn State ยท FS1
Nebraska at Maryland ยท BTN
Indiana at Oregon ยท CBS
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech ยท ACC Network
NC State at Notre Dame ยท Peacock
Wake Forest at Oregon State ยท The CW Network
Iowa State at Colorado ยท ESPN
TCU at Kansas State ยท FOX
Air Force at UNLV ยท CBSSN
Old Dominion at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Western Michigan ยท ESPN+
Navy at Temple ยท ESPN2
UAB at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Iowa at Wisconsin ยท FS1
San Josรฉ State at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
Michigan at USC ยท NBC
Clemson at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Kansas at Texas Tech ยท FOX
Rice at UTSA ยท ESPNU
South Carolina at LSU ยท SEC Network
BYU at Arizona ยท ESPN2
Troy at Texas State ยท ESPN+
New Mexico at Boise State ยท FS1
Arizona State at Utah ยท ESPN
San Diego State at Nevada ยท CBSSN
Utah State at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:Alabama, then Auburn, Minnesota, Florida.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.