๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#10Alabama Crimson Tide

8โ€“2 ยท 6โ€“1 SEC
In the books
WEEK 13 ยท 2025
The Week 13 recap

Alabama beat Eastern Illinois. Playoff odds moved from 51% to 59%.

Your game

Eastern Illinois at Alabama
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Game forecast
Eastern Illinois
Forecast TBA
Alabama
Final ยท Eastern Illinois 0โ€“56 AlabamaWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Alabama wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Syracuse
at
Notre Dame
Final ยท Syracuse 7โ€“70 Notre DameWent the other way โœ—
Projected 8.7-point playoff boost

Notre Dame won instead, so Alabama did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection60% if Syracuse won51% with the other result8.7-point differenceAlabama playoff chance
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Impact 2
Kentucky
at
Rooted for
Vanderbilt
Final ยท Kentucky 17โ€“45 VanderbiltWish granted โœ“
Projected 10.2-point title-game boost

Kentucky lost, improving Alabama's place in the SEC standings.

Entering-week projection77% if Vanderbilt won67% with the other result10-point differenceAlabama SEC title-game chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Rutgers
at
Ohio State
Final ยท Rutgers 9โ€“42 Ohio StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 5.3-point first-round-bye boost

Ohio State won instead, so Alabama did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection16% if Rutgers won11% with the other result5.3-point differenceAlabama first-round bye chance
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Impact 4
Rooted for
Missouri
at
Oklahoma
Final ยท Missouri 6โ€“17 OklahomaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.7-point playoff boost

Oklahoma won instead, so Alabama did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection53% if Missouri won50% with the other result2.7-point differenceAlabama playoff chance
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Impact 5
Miami
at
Rooted for
Virginia Tech
Final ยท Miami 34โ€“17 Virginia TechWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.7-point playoff boost

Miami won instead, so Alabama did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection54% if Virginia Tech won51% with the other result2.7-point differenceAlabama playoff chance
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Impact 6
Rooted for
Kansas State
at
Utah
Final ยท Kansas State 47โ€“51 UtahWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.6-point playoff boost

Utah won instead, so Alabama did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection54% if Kansas State won51% with the other result2.6-point differenceAlabama playoff chance
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Impact 7
Rooted for
Tennessee
at
Florida
Final ยท Tennessee 31โ€“11 FloridaWish granted โœ“
Projected 3.1-point title-game boost

Florida lost, improving Alabama's place in the SEC standings.

Entering-week projection75% if Tennessee won72% with the other result3.1-point differenceAlabama SEC title-game chance
53 other games had little impact
BYU at Cincinnati ยท FOX
Arkansas at Texas ยท ABC
Akron at Bowling Green ยท ESPNU
Massachusetts at Ohio ยท CBSSN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Buffalo ยท ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent State ยท ESPNU
Louisiana at Arkansas State ยท ESPN
Florida State at NC State ยท ESPN
Hawai'i at UNLV ยท FS1
Minnesota at Northwestern ยท BTN
Louisville at SMU ยท ESPN2
Delaware at Wake Forest ยท ACC Network
Kansas at Iowa State ยท FS1
Tulsa at Army ยท CBSSN
Charlotte at Georgia ยท SEC Network
Washington State at James Madison ยท ESPN+
Baylor at Arizona ยท TNT
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
Missouri State at Kennesaw State ยท ESPN+
Nevada at Wyoming
Ball State at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Marshall at App State ยท ESPN+
UConn at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Liberty at Louisiana Tech ยท ESPN+
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN+
New Mexico State at UTEP ยท ESPN+
South Florida at UAB ยท ESPN+
USC at Oregon ยท CBS
Michigan State at Iowa ยท FS1
Duke at North Carolina ยท ACC Network
Jacksonville State at Florida International ยท CBSSN
Southern Miss at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
East Carolina at UTSA ยท ESPN+
Tulane at Temple ยท ESPNU
Michigan at Maryland ยท BTN
TCU at Houston ยท FOX
Oklahoma State at UCF ยท ESPN+
Georgia State at Troy ยท ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
UL Monroe at Texas State ยท ESPN+
Nebraska at Penn State ยท NBC
Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech ยท ESPN
New Mexico at Air Force ยท CBSSN
Colorado State at Boise State ยท FS1
Illinois at Wisconsin ยท BTN
California at Stanford ยท ACC Network
North Texas at Rice ยท ESPNU
Western Kentucky at LSU ยท SEC Network
Arizona State at Colorado ยท ESPN2
Washington at UCLA ยท NBC
Utah State at Fresno State ยท CBSSN
San Josรฉ State at San Diego State ยท FS1
The rooting list was:Alabama, then Syracuse, Vanderbilt, Rutgers, Missouri, Virginia Tech, Kansas State, Tennessee.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13). How the model works.