#8Alabama Crimson Tide
0–0 · 0–0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 1 · 2025
10%
SEC title game
3%
Win the SEC
47%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 8.3
How the week went: playoff odds 47% → 7%.
If Alabama wins out: 40% to win the SEC, 100% to make the playoff.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Alabama's pathYour game
…
… · ABC
#8 Alabama at Florida State
Your game. Beat Florida State and your playoff odds are 52%; lose and they drop to 28%.
Final · Alabama 17–31 Florida StateWent the other way ✗
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ABC
#6 Notre Dame at #10 Miami
Notre Dame winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Notre Dame 24–27 MiamiWent the other way ✗
Root for Notre Dame+2.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
#22 Iowa State at #17 Kansas State
Iowa State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Iowa State 24–21 Kansas StateWish granted ✓
Root for Iowa State+1.3 pp playoff odds
45 more games that don't move your needle
Fresno State at Kansas · FOX
Sam Houston at Western Kentucky · CBSSN
Stanford at Hawai'i · CBS
Boise State at South Florida · ESPN
Ohio at Rutgers · BTN
East Carolina at NC State · ACC Network
Jacksonville State at UCF · ESPN+
Wyoming at Akron · ESPN+
Buffalo at Minnesota · FS1
Nebraska at Cincinnati · ESPN
Miami (OH) at Wisconsin · BTN
Western Michigan at Michigan State · FS1
Kennesaw State at Wake Forest · ACC Network
App State at Charlotte · ESPNU
Auburn at Baylor · FOX
Georgia Tech at Colorado · ESPN
UNLV at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Central Michigan at San José State · FS1
Mississippi State at Southern Miss · ESPN
Syracuse at Tennessee · ABC
Texas at Ohio State · FOX
Florida Atlantic at Maryland · BTN
Ball State at Purdue · BTN
Northwestern at Tulane · ESPNU
Toledo at Kentucky · SEC Network
Old Dominion at Indiana · FS1
Marshall at Georgia · ESPN
Nevada at Penn State · CBS
Temple at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Virginia · ACC Network
UTSA at Texas A&M · ESPN
LSU at Clemson · ABC
Missouri State at USC · BTN
New Mexico at Michigan · NBC
UTEP at Utah State · CBSSN
Georgia State at Ole Miss · SEC Network
Rice at Louisiana · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Texas State · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Fresno State · FS1
California at Oregon State · ESPN
Hawai'i at Arizona · TNT
Utah at UCLA · FOX
Colorado State at Washington · BTN
Virginia Tech at South Carolina · ESPN
TCU at North Carolina · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 1).