๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#21Alabama Crimson Tide

0โ€“1 ยท 0โ€“0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 2 ยท 2025
The Week 2 recap

Alabama beat UL Monroe. Playoff odds moved from 17% to 38%.

Your game

UL Monroe at Alabama
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playoff chanceEntering17%Win18%Loss9%
UL Monroe
UL Monroe 4%Alabama 96%
Alabama
Final ยท UL Monroe 0โ€“73 AlabamaWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Alabama wanted
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Impact 1
Ole Miss
at
Rooted for
Kentucky
Final ยท Ole Miss 30โ€“23 KentuckyWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.3-point title-game boost

Ole Miss won instead, so Alabama did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection12% if Kentucky won9% with the other result2.3-point differenceAlabama SEC title-game chance
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Impact 2
Michigan
at
Rooted for
Oklahoma
Final ยท Michigan 13โ€“24 OklahomaWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.2-point playoff boost

Oklahoma won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 12 game against Alabama.

Entering-week projection18% if Oklahoma won17% with the other result1.2-point differenceAlabama playoff chance
47 other games had little impact
Kansas at Missouri ยท ESPN2
James Madison at Louisville ยท ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Maryland ยท BTN
San Josรฉ State at Texas ยท ABC
Florida International at Penn State ยท BTN
Kennesaw State at Indiana ยท FS1
Iowa at Iowa State ยท FOX
Illinois at Duke ยท ESPN
Virginia at NC State ยท ESPN2
Baylor at SMU ยท The CW Network
Central Michigan at Pittsburgh ยท ESPNU
UConn at Syracuse ยท ESPN+
Kent State at Texas Tech ยท TNT
Liberty at Jacksonville State ยท CBSSN
Utah State at Texas A&M ยท SEC Network
Miami (OH) at Rutgers ยท Peacock
Oklahoma State at Oregon ยท CBS
Fresno State at Oregon State ยท The CW Network
Troy at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Bowling Green at Cincinnati ยท ESPN+
Delaware at Colorado ยท FOX
Texas State at UTSA ยท ESPN+
UAB at Navy ยท CBSSN
North Texas at Western Michigan ยท ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin ยท FS1
West Virginia at Ohio ยท ESPNU
South Florida at Florida ยท SEC Network
Arkansas State at Arkansas ยท ESPN+
Missouri State at Marshall ยท ESPN+
North Carolina at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
Army at Kansas State ยท ESPN
Houston at Rice ยท ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Memphis at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Tulane at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Auburn ยท ESPNU
Louisiana Tech at LSU ยท ESPN+
Arizona State at Mississippi State ยท ESPN2
Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech ยท ACC Network
Akron at Nebraska ยท BTN
Georgia Southern at USC ยท FS1
Boston College at Michigan State ยท NBC
UCLA at UNLV ยท CBSSN
Tulsa at New Mexico State ยท ESPN+
San Diego State at Washington State ยท The CW Network
Stanford at BYU ยท ESPN
Sam Houston at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:Alabama, then Kentucky, Oklahoma.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 2, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 2). How the model works.