๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#19Alabama Crimson Tide

1โ€“1 ยท 0โ€“0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 3 ยท 2025
The Week 3 recap

Alabama beat Wisconsin. Playoff odds moved from 38% to 44%.

Your game

Wisconsin at Alabama
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playoff chanceEntering38%Win40%Loss24%
Wisconsin
Wisconsin 11%Alabama 89%
Alabama
Final ยท Wisconsin 14โ€“38 AlabamaWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Alabama wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Arkansas
at
Ole Miss
Final ยท Arkansas 35โ€“41 Ole MissWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.7-point title-game boost

Ole Miss won instead, so Alabama did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection35% if Arkansas won31% with the other result3.7-point differenceAlabama SEC title-game chance
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Impact 2
Louisiana
at
Rooted for
Missouri
Final ยท Louisiana 10โ€“52 MissouriWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.0-point playoff boost

Missouri won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 7 game against Alabama.

Entering-week projection38% if Missouri won36% with the other result2-point differenceAlabama playoff chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Western Michigan
at
Illinois
Final ยท Western Michigan 0โ€“38 IllinoisWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.9-point playoff boost

Illinois won instead, so Alabama did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection40% if Western Michigan won38% with the other result1.9-point differenceAlabama playoff chance
43 other games had little impact
Vanderbilt at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
Georgia at Tennessee ยท ABC
Florida at LSU ยท ABC
NC State at Wake Forest ยท ESPN
Colorado at Houston ยท ESPN
Kansas State at Arizona ยท FOX
New Mexico at UCLA ยท BTN
Oklahoma at Temple ยท ESPN2
Oregon at Northwestern ยท FOX
Central Michigan at Michigan ยท BTN
Clemson at Georgia Tech ยท ESPN
Memphis at Troy ยท ESPNU
Buffalo at Kent State ยท CBSSN
South Alabama at Auburn ยท SEC Network
UConn at Delaware ยท ESPN+
USC at Purdue ยท CBS
Oregon State at Texas Tech ยท FOX
Washington State at North Texas ยท ESPNU
SMU at Missouri State ยท CBSSN
Pittsburgh at West Virginia ยท ESPN
Iowa State at Arkansas State ยท ESPN2
UTEP at Texas ยท SEC Network
South Florida at Miami ยท The CW Network
Liberty at Bowling Green ยท ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Nevada
Florida Atlantic at Florida International ยท ESPN+
Ohio at Ohio State ยท Peacock
Old Dominion at Virginia Tech ยท ACC Network
Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
App State at Southern Miss ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Kentucky ยท ESPNU
Texas A&M at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Massachusetts at Iowa ยท BTN
New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech ยท ESPN+
East Carolina at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
Duke at Tulane ยท ESPN2
Utah at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
Navy at Tulsa ยท ESPN+
Akron at UAB ยท ESPN+
Air Force at Utah State ยท FS1
Minnesota at California ยท ESPN
Boston College at Stanford ยท ACC Network
Texas State at Arizona State ยท TNT
The rooting list was:Alabama, then Arkansas, Missouri, Western Michigan.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3). How the model works.