The SEC race
16 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 1 · 2025
16 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 1; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #5Georgia | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.9–1.1 | 74% | 54% | >99% |
 #21Ole Miss | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.3–1.7 | 44% | 21% | 87% |
 #1Texas | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.9–2.1 | 23% | 9% | >99% |
 #24Tennessee | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.4–2.6 | 15% | 5% | 14% |
 #8Alabama | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.5–3.5 | 10% | 3% | 47% |
 #9LSU | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.5–3.5 | 8% | 2% | 25% |
 #13South Carolina | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.5–3.5 | 8% | 2% | 13% |
 #19Texas A&M | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.4–3.6 | 7% | 2% | 3% |
 Missouri | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.2–3.8 | 4% | <1% | <1% |
 #15Florida | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.2–4.8 | 2% | <1% | 3% |
 #18Oklahoma | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.0–5.0 | 2% | <1% | 2% |
 Auburn | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.4–4.6 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
 Arkansas | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.8–5.2 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Vanderbilt | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.2–5.8 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Kentucky | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.7–6.3 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Mississippi State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.0–7.0 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 1).