๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#21Ole Miss Rebels

0โ€“0 ยท 0โ€“0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 1 ยท 2025
The Week 1 recap

Ole Miss beat Georgia State. Playoff odds moved from 55% to 53%.

Your game

Georgia State at Ole Miss
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playoff chanceEntering55%Win55%Loss38%
Georgia State
Georgia State 1%Ole Miss 99%
Ole Miss
Final ยท Georgia State 7โ€“63 Ole MissWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Ole Miss wanted
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Impact 1
Jacksonville State
at
Rooted for
UCF
Final ยท Jacksonville State 10โ€“17 UCFWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.6-point playoff boost

UCF won, thinning out the at-large competition for Ole Miss's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection56% if UCF won54% with the other result1.6-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
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Impact 2
Alabama
at
Rooted for
Florida State
Final ยท Alabama 17โ€“31 Florida StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.4-point playoff boost

Florida State won, thinning out the at-large competition for Ole Miss's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection56% if Florida State won55% with the other result1.4-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
45 other games had little impact
LSU at Clemson ยท ABC
Notre Dame at Miami ยท ABC
Northwestern at Tulane ยท ESPNU
Iowa State at Kansas State ยท ESPN
Fresno State at Kansas ยท FOX
Sam Houston at Western Kentucky ยท CBSSN
Stanford at Hawai'i ยท CBS
Boise State at South Florida ยท ESPN
Ohio at Rutgers ยท BTN
East Carolina at NC State ยท ACC Network
Wyoming at Akron ยท ESPN+
Buffalo at Minnesota ยท FS1
Nebraska at Cincinnati ยท ESPN
Miami (OH) at Wisconsin ยท BTN
Western Michigan at Michigan State ยท FS1
Kennesaw State at Wake Forest ยท ACC Network
App State at Charlotte ยท ESPNU
Auburn at Baylor ยท FOX
Georgia Tech at Colorado ยท ESPN
UNLV at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Central Michigan at San Josรฉ State ยท FS1
Mississippi State at Southern Miss ยท ESPN
Syracuse at Tennessee ยท ABC
Texas at Ohio State ยท FOX
Florida Atlantic at Maryland ยท BTN
Ball State at Purdue ยท BTN
Toledo at Kentucky ยท SEC Network
Old Dominion at Indiana ยท FS1
Marshall at Georgia ยท ESPN
Nevada at Penn State ยท CBS
Temple at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Virginia ยท ACC Network
UTSA at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
Missouri State at USC ยท BTN
New Mexico at Michigan ยท NBC
UTEP at Utah State ยท CBSSN
Rice at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Texas State ยท ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Fresno State ยท FS1
California at Oregon State ยท ESPN
Hawai'i at Arizona ยท TNT
Utah at UCLA ยท FOX
Colorado State at Washington ยท BTN
Virginia Tech at South Carolina ยท ESPN
TCU at North Carolina ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:Ole Miss, then UCF, Florida State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 1). How the model works.