🏈 Fan Watch

#7Ole Miss Rebels

7–1 · 4–1 SEC
In the books
WEEK 10 · 2025
The Week 10 recap

Ole Miss beat South Carolina. Playoff odds moved from 79% to 76%.

Your game

South Carolina at Ole Miss
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ESPN
playoff chanceEntering79%Win83%Loss45%
South Carolina
South Carolina 10%Ole Miss 90%
Ole Miss
Final · South Carolina 14–30 Ole MissWish granted ✓

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Ole Miss wanted
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ABC
Impact 1
Georgia
at
Rooted for
Florida
Final · Georgia 24–20 FloridaWent the other way ✗
Projected 26.8-point title-game boost

Georgia won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection37% if Florida won10% with the other result27-point differenceOle Miss SEC title-game chance
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ABC
Impact 2
Rooted for
Vanderbilt
at
Texas
Final · Vanderbilt 31–34 TexasWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.9-point title-game boost

Texas won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection16% if Vanderbilt won12% with the other result3.9-point differenceOle Miss SEC title-game chance
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SEC Network
Impact 3
Rooted for
Kentucky
at
Auburn
Final · Kentucky 10–3 AuburnWish granted ✓
Projected 3.5-point title-game boost

Auburn lost, improving Ole Miss's place in the SEC standings.

Entering-week projection16% if Kentucky won12% with the other result3.5-point differenceOle Miss SEC title-game chance
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CBS
Impact 4
Indiana
at
Rooted for
Maryland
Final · Indiana 55–10 MarylandWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.9-point first-round-bye boost

Indiana won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection22% if Maryland won18% with the other result3.9-point differenceOle Miss first-round bye chance
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SEC Network
Impact 5
Rooted for
Mississippi State
at
Arkansas
Final · Mississippi State 38–35 ArkansasWish granted ✓
Projected 1.7-point playoff boost

Arkansas lost again, helping keep them behind Ole Miss.

Entering-week projection80% if Mississippi State won78% with the other result1.7-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
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FOX
Impact 6
Penn State
at
Rooted for
Ohio State
Final · Penn State 14–38 Ohio StateWish granted ✓
Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

Ohio State won, thinning out the at-large competition for Ole Miss's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection79% if Ohio State won78% with the other result1.3-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
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ESPNU
Impact 7
UTEP
at
Rooted for
Kennesaw State
Final · UTEP 20–33 Kennesaw StateWish granted ✓
Projected 1.2-point playoff boost

Kennesaw State won, thinning out the at-large competition for Ole Miss's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection79% if Kennesaw State won78% with the other result1.2-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
44 other games had little impact
Miami at SMU · ESPN
Oklahoma at Tennessee · ABC
Arkansas State at Troy · ESPNU
Georgia Tech at NC State · ESPN2
James Madison at Texas State · ESPN2
Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Florida International at Missouri State · CBSSN
Marshall at Coastal Carolina · ESPN2
Tulane at UTSA · ESPN
Memphis at Rice · ESPN2
North Carolina at Syracuse · ESPN
Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Rutgers at Illinois · NBC
Duke at Clemson · ACC Network
UCF at Baylor · ESPNU
West Virginia at Houston · FS1
UAB at UConn · CBSSN
Army at Air Force · CBS
Navy at North Texas · ESPN2
Buffalo at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Arizona State at Iowa State · TNT
East Carolina at Temple · ESPN+
Louisville at Virginia Tech · The CW Network
New Mexico at UNLV
Michigan State at Minnesota · BTN
Pittsburgh at Stanford · ACC Network
Notre Dame at Boston College · ESPN
Texas Tech at Kansas State · FOX
Delaware at Liberty · CBSSN
New Mexico State at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Fresno State at Boise State · FS1
Old Dominion at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Louisiana at South Alabama · ESPN+
Virginia at California · ESPN2
Oklahoma State at Kansas · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Western Michigan · ESPNU
Purdue at Michigan · BTN
Arizona at Colorado · FS1
Wyoming at San Diego State · CBSSN
USC at Nebraska · NBC
Washington State at Oregon State · CBS
Wake Forest at Florida State · ACC Network
Cincinnati at Utah · ESPN
Hawai'i at San José State · CBSSN
The rooting list was:Ole Miss, then Florida, Vanderbilt, Kentucky, Maryland, Mississippi State, Ohio State, Kennesaw State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 10). How the model works.