🏈 Fan Watch

#6Ole Miss Rebels

8–1 · 5–1 SEC
In the books
WEEK 11 · 2025
The Week 11 recap

Ole Miss beat The Citadel. Playoff odds moved from 76% to 74%.

Your game

The Citadel at Ole Miss
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ESPN+
Game forecast
The Citadel
Forecast TBA
Ole Miss
Final · The Citadel 0–49 Ole MissWish granted ✓

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Ole Miss wanted
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ESPN
Impact 1
Georgia
at
Rooted for
Mississippi State
Final · Georgia 41–21 Mississippi StateWent the other way ✗
Projected 39.8-point title-game boost

Georgia won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection51% if Mississippi State won11% with the other result40-point differenceOle Miss SEC title-game chance
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ABC
Impact 2
Rooted for
LSU
at
Alabama
Final · LSU 9–20 AlabamaWent the other way ✗
Projected 19.7-point title-game boost

Alabama won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection32% if LSU won12% with the other result20-point differenceOle Miss SEC title-game chance
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ABC
Impact 3
Texas A&M
at
Rooted for
Missouri
Final · Texas A&M 38–17 MissouriWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.7-point first-round-bye boost

Texas A&M won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection15% if Missouri won12% with the other result3.7-point differenceOle Miss first-round bye chance
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SEC Network
Impact 4
Rooted for
Florida
at
Kentucky
Final · Florida 7–38 KentuckyWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.0-point playoff boost

Kentucky won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection77% if Florida won75% with the other result2-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
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FOX
Impact 5
Indiana
at
Rooted for
Penn State
Final · Indiana 27–24 Penn StateWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.5-point first-round-bye boost

Indiana won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection15% if Penn State won13% with the other result2.5-point differenceOle Miss first-round bye chance
46 other games had little impact
Oregon at Iowa · CBS
Auburn at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Temple at Army · CBSSN
Massachusetts at Akron · CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Ohio · ESPN2
Kent State at Ball State · ESPNU
Northern Illinois at Toledo · ESPN2
Georgia Southern at App State · ESPN2
UTSA at South Florida · ESPN
Houston at UCF · FS1
Northwestern at USC · FOX
Tulane at Memphis · ESPN
SMU at Boston College · ACC Network
BYU at Texas Tech · ABC
Colorado at West Virginia · TNT
James Madison at Marshall · ESPN2
Southern Miss at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Ohio State at Purdue · BTN
Missouri State at Liberty · ESPN+
Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
UAB at Rice · ESPN+
Maryland at Rutgers · FS1
Louisiana Tech at Delaware · ESPN+
Florida International at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Jacksonville State at UTEP · ESPN+
Charlotte at East Carolina · ESPN+
Tulsa at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Syracuse at Miami · ESPN
Duke at UConn · CBSSN
Kansas at Arizona · ESPN2
Iowa State at TCU · FOX
Kennesaw State at New Mexico State · ESPN+
Georgia State at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Washington at Wisconsin · BTN
Stanford at North Carolina · The CW Network
Texas State at Louisiana · ESPN+
Air Force at San José State · FS1
California at Louisville · ESPN2
Florida State at Clemson · ACC Network
Wake Forest at Virginia · ESPN
Navy at Notre Dame · NBC
Nevada at Utah State · CBSSN
Nebraska at UCLA · FOX
UNLV at Colorado State · FS1
Sam Houston at Oregon State · The CW Network
San Diego State at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:Ole Miss, then Mississippi State, LSU, Missouri, Florida, Penn State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 11). How the model works.