🏈 Fan Watch

#5Ole Miss Rebels

6–0 · 3–0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 8 · 2025
The Week 8 recap

Ole Miss lost to Georgia. Playoff odds moved from 80% to 74%.

Your game

Ole Miss at Georgia
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ABC
SEC title-game chanceEntering40%Win82%Loss20%
Ole Miss
Ole Miss 32%Georgia 68%
Georgia
Final · Ole Miss 35–43 GeorgiaWent the other way ✗

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Ole Miss wanted
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ABC
Impact 1
Rooted for
Tennessee
at
Alabama
Final · Tennessee 20–37 AlabamaWent the other way ✗
Projected 6.2-point title-game boost

Alabama won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection45% if Tennessee won38% with the other result6.2-point differenceOle Miss SEC title-game chance
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ESPN
Impact 2
Texas
at
Rooted for
Kentucky
Final · Texas 16–13 KentuckyWent the other way ✗
Projected 5.5-point title-game boost

Texas won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection45% if Kentucky won39% with the other result5.5-point differenceOle Miss SEC title-game chance
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ESPN
Impact 3
Texas A&M
at
Rooted for
Arkansas
Final · Texas A&M 45–42 ArkansasWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.6-point title-game boost

Texas A&M won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection42% if Arkansas won39% with the other result3.6-point differenceOle Miss SEC title-game chance
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NBC
Impact 4
Rooted for
USC
at
Notre Dame
Final · USC 24–34 Notre DameWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.0-point playoff boost

Notre Dame won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection82% if USC won80% with the other result2-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
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ESPN
Impact 5
Rooted for
Louisville
at
Miami
Final · Louisville 24–21 MiamiWish granted ✓
Projected 3.0-point first-round-bye boost

Louisville won, helping protect Ole Miss's path to a top-four seed and first-round bye.

Entering-week projection35% if Louisville won32% with the other result3-point differenceOle Miss first-round bye chance
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SEC Network
Impact 6
Missouri
at
Rooted for
Auburn
Final · Missouri 23–17 AuburnWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.2-point title-game boost

Missouri won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection41% if Auburn won39% with the other result2.2-point differenceOle Miss SEC title-game chance
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ESPN+
Impact 7
Eastern Michigan
at
Rooted for
Miami (OH)
Final · Eastern Michigan 30–44 Miami (OH)Wish granted ✓
Projected 1.4-point playoff boost

Miami (OH) won, thinning out the at-large competition for Ole Miss's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection80% if Miami (OH) won79% with the other result1.4-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
51 other games had little impact
Delaware at Jacksonville State · ESPN2
Oregon at Rutgers · BTN
Michigan State at Indiana · Peacock
Texas Tech at Arizona State · FOX
New Mexico State at Liberty · CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama · ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky · ESPNU
UTEP at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina · ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota · FOX
San José State at Utah State · CBSSN
North Carolina at California · ESPN
LSU at Vanderbilt · ABC
Washington at Michigan · FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke · ESPN
UConn at Boston College · ACC Network
Arizona at Houston · FS1
Baylor at TCU · ESPN2
Army at Tulane · ESPNU
Central Michigan at Bowling Green · CBSSN
Oklahoma at South Carolina · SEC Network
West Virginia at UCF · TNT
Kent State at Toledo · ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern · BTN
Troy at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Ohio State at Wisconsin · CBS
SMU at Clemson · ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force · CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State · FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State · ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison · ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall · ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte · ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas · ESPN+
Akron at Ball State · ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio · ESPN+
Memphis at UAB · ESPN2
Mississippi State at Florida · SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana · ESPN+
Washington State at Virginia · The CW Network
Penn State at Iowa · Peacock
Maryland at UCLA · FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Pittsburgh at Syracuse · ACC Network
Florida Atlantic at South Florida · ESPNU
Utah at BYU · FOX
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Nevada at New Mexico · FS1
Florida State at Stanford · ESPN
The rooting list was:Ole Miss, then Tennessee, Kentucky, Arkansas, USC, Louisville, Auburn, Miami (OH).

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.