🏈 Fan Watch

#4Ole Miss Rebels

5–0 · 3–0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 6 · 2025
The Week 6 recap

Ole Miss was off. Playoff odds moved from 82% to 86%.

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Ole Miss wanted
…
…
ESPN
Impact 1
Texas
at
Rooted for
Florida
Final · Texas 21–29 FloridaWish granted ✓
Projected 9.9-point title-game boost

Texas lost, improving Ole Miss's place in the SEC standings.

Entering-week projection49% if Florida won39% with the other result9.9-point differenceOle Miss SEC title-game chance
…
…
ABC
Impact 2
Rooted for
Kentucky
at
Georgia
Final · Kentucky 14–35 GeorgiaWent the other way ✗
Projected 8.8-point title-game boost

Georgia won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection50% if Kentucky won41% with the other result8.8-point differenceOle Miss SEC title-game chance
…
…
ABC
Impact 3
Rooted for
Vanderbilt
at
Alabama
Final · Vanderbilt 14–30 AlabamaWent the other way ✗
Projected 7.4-point title-game boost

Alabama won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection47% if Vanderbilt won40% with the other result7.4-point differenceOle Miss SEC title-game chance
…
…
CBS
Impact 4
Penn State
at
Rooted for
UCLA
Final · Penn State 37–42 UCLAWish granted ✓
Projected 5.1-point first-round-bye boost

UCLA won, helping protect Ole Miss's path to a top-four seed and first-round bye.

Entering-week projection43% if UCLA won38% with the other result5.1-point differenceOle Miss first-round bye chance
…
…
NBC
Impact 5
Rooted for
Boise State
at
Notre Dame
Final · Boise State 7–28 Notre DameWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.6-point playoff boost

Notre Dame won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection85% if Boise State won82% with the other result2.6-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
…
…
SEC Network
Impact 6
Rooted for
Mississippi State
at
Texas A&M
Final · Mississippi State 9–31 Texas A&MWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.3-point playoff boost

Texas A&M won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection84% if Mississippi State won82% with the other result2.3-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
…
…
ABC
Impact 7
Miami
at
Rooted for
Florida State
Final · Miami 28–22 Florida StateWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.2-point first-round-bye boost

Miami won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection40% if Florida State won37% with the other result3.2-point differenceOle Miss first-round bye chance
…
…
FS1
Impact 8
Rooted for
Michigan State
at
Nebraska
Final · Michigan State 27–38 NebraskaWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

Nebraska won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection83% if Michigan State won82% with the other result1.3-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
42 other games had little impact
Sam Houston at New Mexico State · CBSSN
Western Kentucky at Delaware · CBSSN
Charlotte at South Florida · ESPN2
New Mexico at San José State · FS1
West Virginia at BYU · ESPN
Colorado State at San Diego State · CBSSN
Wisconsin at Michigan · FOX
Illinois at Purdue · BTN
Boston College at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
Clemson at North Carolina · ESPN
Kansas State at Baylor · ESPN+
Iowa State at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Air Force at Navy · CBS
Army at UAB · ESPNU
Ohio at Ball State · CBSSN
Wake Forest at Virginia Tech · The CW Network
UTSA at Temple · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Oklahoma State at Arizona · truTV
Washington at Maryland · BTN
UL Monroe at Northwestern · BTN
Oregon State at App State · ESPN+
Virginia at Louisville · ESPN2
Syracuse at SMU · ACC Network
Florida International at UConn · CBSSN
James Madison at Georgia State · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Akron · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Buffalo · ESPN+
Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Kent State at Oklahoma · SEC Network
Texas State at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Texas Tech at Houston · ESPN
UNLV at Wyoming · CBSSN
South Alabama at Troy · ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Rice · ESPN+
Minnesota at Ohio State · NBC
Colorado at TCU · FOX
Kansas at UCF · ESPN2
Tulsa at Memphis · ESPNU
Duke at California · ESPN
Nevada at Fresno State · CBSSN
The rooting list was:Ole Miss is off, then Florida, Kentucky, Vanderbilt, UCLA, Boise State, Mississippi State, Florida State, Michigan State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.