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#4Ole Miss Rebels

50 · 30 SEC
In the books
WEEK 6 · 2025
40%
SEC title game
22%
Win the SEC
>99%
Make the playoff
50%
First-round bye
avg seed 4.6
How the week went: playoff odds >99%>99% · title-game odds 40%45%.
Playoff odds by week

If Ole Miss wins out: 56% to win the SEC, 100% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Ole Miss's path
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
· ABC
Kentucky at #12 Georgia

SEC race: Georgia losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Kentucky — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play Georgia in week 8.

Final · Kentucky 1435 GeorgiaWent the other way ✗
Root for Kentucky+12.4 pp title-game odds
· ESPN
#9 Texas at Florida

SEC race: Texas losing helps your spot in the standings; Florida visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.

Final · Texas 2129 FloridaWish granted ✓
Root for Florida+10.6 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
· CBS
#7 Penn State at UCLA

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and UCLA winning protects it.

Final · Penn State 3742 UCLAWish granted ✓
Root for UCLA+8.7 pp first-round-bye odds
· ABC
#16 Vanderbilt at #10 Alabama

SEC race: Alabama losing helps your spot in the standings.

Final · Vanderbilt 1430 AlabamaWent the other way ✗
Root for Vanderbilt+7.1 pp title-game odds
· ABC
#3 Miami at #18 Florida State

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Florida State winning protects it.

Final · Miami 2822 Florida StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida State+6.8 pp first-round-bye odds
Mississippi State at #6 Texas A&M

SEC race: Texas A&M losing helps your spot in the standings; Mississippi State visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.

Final · Mississippi State 931 Texas A&MWent the other way ✗
Root for Mississippi State+2.2 pp title-game odds
44 more games that don't move your needle
Colorado at TCU · FOX
Sam Houston at New Mexico State · CBSSN
Western Kentucky at Delaware · CBSSN
Charlotte at South Florida · ESPN2
New Mexico at San José State · FS1
West Virginia at BYU · ESPN
Colorado State at San Diego State · CBSSN
Wisconsin at Michigan · FOX
Illinois at Purdue · BTN
Boston College at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
Clemson at North Carolina · ESPN
Kansas State at Baylor · ESPN+
Iowa State at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Air Force at Navy · CBS
Army at UAB · ESPNU
Ohio at Ball State · CBSSN
Wake Forest at Virginia Tech · The CW Network
UTSA at Temple · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Oklahoma State at Arizona · truTV
Washington at Maryland · BTN
UL Monroe at Northwestern · BTN
Oregon State at App State · ESPN+
Virginia at Louisville · ESPN2
Syracuse at SMU · ACC Network
Boise State at Notre Dame · NBC
Florida International at UConn · CBSSN
James Madison at Georgia State · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Akron · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Buffalo · ESPN+
Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Kent State at Oklahoma · SEC Network
Michigan State at Nebraska · FS1
Texas State at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Texas Tech at Houston · ESPN
UNLV at Wyoming · CBSSN
South Alabama at Troy · ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Rice · ESPN+
Minnesota at Ohio State · NBC
Kansas at UCF · ESPN2
Tulsa at Memphis · ESPNU
Duke at California · ESPN
Nevada at Fresno State · CBSSN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6).