๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#6Ole Miss Rebels

10โ€“1 ยท 6โ€“1 SEC
In the books
WEEK 13 ยท 2025
The Week 13 recap

Ole Miss was off. Playoff odds moved from 77% to 69%.

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Ole Miss wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Syracuse
at
Notre Dame
Final ยท Syracuse 7โ€“70 Notre DameWent the other way โœ—
Projected 6.2-point playoff boost

Notre Dame won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection84% if Syracuse won77% with the other result6.2-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
Missouri
at
Oklahoma
Final ยท Missouri 6โ€“17 OklahomaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.8-point playoff boost

Oklahoma won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection80% if Missouri won76% with the other result3.8-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Kansas State
at
Utah
Final ยท Kansas State 47โ€“51 UtahWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.7-point playoff boost

Utah won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection81% if Kansas State won77% with the other result3.7-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
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Impact 4
Rooted for
Kentucky
at
Vanderbilt
Final ยท Kentucky 17โ€“45 VanderbiltWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.9-point playoff boost

Vanderbilt won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection80% if Kentucky won77% with the other result2.9-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
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Impact 5
BYU
at
Rooted for
Cincinnati
Final ยท BYU 26โ€“14 CincinnatiWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.8-point playoff boost

BYU won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection79% if Cincinnati won76% with the other result2.8-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
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Impact 6
Miami
at
Rooted for
Virginia Tech
Final ยท Miami 34โ€“17 Virginia TechWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.2-point playoff boost

Miami won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection79% if Virginia Tech won77% with the other result2.2-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
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Impact 7
Rooted for
Arkansas
at
Texas
Final ยท Arkansas 37โ€“52 TexasWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.6-point playoff boost

Texas won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection79% if Arkansas won77% with the other result1.6-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
53 other games had little impact
Hawai'i at UNLV ยท FS1
USC at Oregon ยท CBS
Akron at Bowling Green ยท ESPNU
Massachusetts at Ohio ยท CBSSN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Buffalo ยท ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent State ยท ESPNU
Louisiana at Arkansas State ยท ESPN
Florida State at NC State ยท ESPN
Minnesota at Northwestern ยท BTN
Rutgers at Ohio State ยท FOX
Louisville at SMU ยท ESPN2
Delaware at Wake Forest ยท ACC Network
Kansas at Iowa State ยท FS1
Tulsa at Army ยท CBSSN
Charlotte at Georgia ยท SEC Network
Washington State at James Madison ยท ESPN+
Baylor at Arizona ยท TNT
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
Missouri State at Kennesaw State ยท ESPN+
Nevada at Wyoming
Ball State at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Marshall at App State ยท ESPN+
UConn at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Liberty at Louisiana Tech ยท ESPN+
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN+
New Mexico State at UTEP ยท ESPN+
South Florida at UAB ยท ESPN+
Michigan State at Iowa ยท FS1
Duke at North Carolina ยท ACC Network
Jacksonville State at Florida International ยท CBSSN
Southern Miss at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
East Carolina at UTSA ยท ESPN+
Tulane at Temple ยท ESPNU
Michigan at Maryland ยท BTN
TCU at Houston ยท FOX
Oklahoma State at UCF ยท ESPN+
Georgia State at Troy ยท ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
UL Monroe at Texas State ยท ESPN+
Nebraska at Penn State ยท NBC
Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech ยท ESPN
New Mexico at Air Force ยท CBSSN
Colorado State at Boise State ยท FS1
Tennessee at Florida ยท ABC
Illinois at Wisconsin ยท BTN
California at Stanford ยท ACC Network
North Texas at Rice ยท ESPNU
Western Kentucky at LSU ยท SEC Network
Arizona State at Colorado ยท ESPN2
Washington at UCLA ยท NBC
Utah State at Fresno State ยท CBSSN
San Josรฉ State at San Diego State ยท FS1
The rooting list was:Ole Miss is off, then Syracuse, Missouri, Kansas State, Kentucky, Cincinnati, Virginia Tech, Arkansas.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13). How the model works.