🏈 Fan Watch

#7Ole Miss Rebels

10–1 · 6–1 SEC
In the books
WEEK 14 · 2025
The Week 14 recap

Ole Miss beat Mississippi State. Playoff odds moved from 69% to 90%.

Your game

Ole Miss at Mississippi State
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ABC
playoff chanceEntering69%Win76%Loss17%
Ole Miss
Ole Miss 89%Mississippi State 11%
Mississippi State
Final · Ole Miss 38–19 Mississippi StateWish granted ✓

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Ole Miss wanted
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ABC
Impact 1
Alabama
at
Rooted for
Auburn
Final · Alabama 27–20 AuburnWent the other way ✗
Projected 53.0-point title-game boost

Alabama won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection53% if Auburn won0% with the other result53-point differenceOle Miss SEC title-game chance
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ABC
Impact 2
Texas A&M
at
Rooted for
Texas
Final · Texas A&M 17–27 TexasWish granted ✓
Projected 20.1-point title-game boost

Texas A&M lost, keeping Ole Miss's SEC title-game hopes alive.

Entering-week projection20% if Texas won0% with the other result20-point differenceOle Miss SEC title-game chance
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ABC
Impact 3
Rooted for
LSU
at
Oklahoma
Final · LSU 13–17 OklahomaWent the other way ✗
Projected 5.1-point playoff boost

Oklahoma won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection73% if LSU won68% with the other result5.1-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
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FOX
Impact 4
Rooted for
Ohio State
at
Michigan
Final · Ohio State 27–9 MichiganWish granted ✓
Projected 4.4-point playoff boost

Ohio State won, thinning out the at-large competition for Ole Miss's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection70% if Ohio State won66% with the other result4.4-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
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CBS
Impact 5
Oregon
at
Rooted for
Washington
Final · Oregon 26–14 WashingtonWent the other way ✗
Projected 4.2-point playoff boost

Oregon won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection72% if Washington won68% with the other result4.2-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
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ESPN
Impact 6
Vanderbilt
at
Rooted for
Tennessee
Final · Vanderbilt 45–24 TennesseeWent the other way ✗
Projected 4.1-point playoff boost

Vanderbilt won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection71% if Tennessee won67% with the other result4.1-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
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ESPN
Impact 7
Utah
at
Rooted for
Kansas
Final · Utah 31–21 KansasWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.2-point playoff boost

Utah won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection72% if Kansas won69% with the other result3.2-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
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ABC
Impact 8
Miami
at
Rooted for
Pittsburgh
Final · Miami 38–7 PittsburghWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.4-point playoff boost

Miami won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection71% if Pittsburgh won69% with the other result2.4-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
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ESPN2
Impact 9
Rooted for
UCF
at
BYU
Final · UCF 21–41 BYUWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.9-point playoff boost

BYU won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection71% if UCF won69% with the other result1.9-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
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ESPN
Impact 10
Rooted for
Virginia Tech
at
Virginia
Final · Virginia Tech 7–27 VirginiaWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.6-point playoff boost

Virginia won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection71% if Virginia Tech won69% with the other result1.6-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
56 other games had little impact
Texas Tech at West Virginia · ESPN
Georgia at Georgia Tech · ABC
Bowling Green at Massachusetts · ESPNU
Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan · ESPN2
Navy at Memphis · ESPN
Iowa at Nebraska · CBS
Ohio at Buffalo · ESPNU
Kent State at Northern Illinois · CBSSN
Air Force at Colorado State · FS1
San Diego State at New Mexico · CBSSN
Temple at North Texas · ESPN
Boise State at Utah State · CBS
Indiana at Purdue · NBC
Arizona at Arizona State · FOX
Kentucky at Louisville · ACC Network
Clemson at South Carolina · SEC Network
Houston at Baylor · TNT
Colorado at Kansas State · FS1
Iowa State at Oklahoma State · ESPNU
East Carolina at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Toledo at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Ball State at Miami (OH) · CBSSN
UTEP at Delaware · ESPN+
Florida International at Sam Houston · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Marshall · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at Missouri State · ESPN+
Georgia State at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Arkansas State at App State · ESPN+
Boston College at Syracuse · The CW Network
Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State · ESPN+
UL Monroe at Louisiana · ESPN+
South Alabama at Texas State · ESPN+
UAB at Tulsa · ESPN+
Missouri at Arkansas · SEC Network
Wisconsin at Minnesota · FS1
Penn State at Rutgers · BTN
Wake Forest at Duke · ACC Network
Cincinnati at TCU · FOX
Kennesaw State at Liberty · CBSSN
Troy at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Army at UTSA · ESPN+
James Madison at Coastal Carolina · ESPNU
Florida State at Florida · ESPN2
Oregon State at Washington State · The CW Network
Maryland at Michigan State · FS1
Rice at South Florida · ESPN+
UCLA at USC · NBC
Northwestern at Illinois · FOX
North Carolina at NC State · ACC Network
Charlotte at Tulane · ESPNU
SMU at California · ESPN2
UNLV at Nevada · CBSSN
Notre Dame at Stanford · ESPN
Fresno State at San José State · FS1
Wyoming at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:Ole Miss, then Auburn, Texas, LSU, Ohio State, Washington, Tennessee, Kansas, Pittsburgh, UCF, Virginia Tech.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 14, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 14). How the model works.