🏈 Fan Watch

#17Ole Miss Rebels

2–0 · 1–0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 3 · 2025
The Week 3 recap

Ole Miss beat Arkansas. Playoff odds moved from 41% to 46%.

Your game

Arkansas at Ole Miss
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ESPN
playoff chanceEntering41%Win44%Loss23%
Arkansas
Arkansas 14%Ole Miss 86%
Ole Miss
Final · Arkansas 35–41 Ole MissWish granted ✓

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Ole Miss wanted
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SEC Network
Impact 1
Vanderbilt
at
Rooted for
South Carolina
Final · Vanderbilt 31–7 South CarolinaWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.6-point title-game boost

Vanderbilt won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection37% if South Carolina won35% with the other result2.6-point differenceOle Miss SEC title-game chance
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ESPNU
Impact 2
Rooted for
Washington State
at
North Texas
Final · Washington State 10–59 North TexasWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.4-point playoff boost

North Texas won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection42% if Washington State won40% with the other result1.4-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
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ESPN+
Impact 3
Jacksonville State
at
Rooted for
Georgia Southern
Final · Jacksonville State 34–41 Georgia SouthernWish granted ✓
Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

Georgia Southern won, thinning out the at-large competition for Ole Miss's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection42% if Georgia Southern won41% with the other result1.3-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
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ABC
Impact 4
Georgia
at
Rooted for
Tennessee
Final · Georgia 44–41 TennesseeWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.0-point title-game boost

Georgia won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection38% if Tennessee won36% with the other result2-point differenceOle Miss SEC title-game chance
42 other games had little impact
NC State at Wake Forest · ESPN
Colorado at Houston · ESPN
Kansas State at Arizona · FOX
New Mexico at UCLA · BTN
Wisconsin at Alabama · ABC
Oklahoma at Temple · ESPN2
Oregon at Northwestern · FOX
Central Michigan at Michigan · BTN
Clemson at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Memphis at Troy · ESPNU
Buffalo at Kent State · CBSSN
South Alabama at Auburn · SEC Network
Louisiana at Missouri · ESPN+
UConn at Delaware · ESPN+
USC at Purdue · CBS
Oregon State at Texas Tech · FOX
SMU at Missouri State · CBSSN
Pittsburgh at West Virginia · ESPN
Iowa State at Arkansas State · ESPN2
UTEP at Texas · SEC Network
South Florida at Miami · The CW Network
Liberty at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Nevada
Florida Atlantic at Florida International · ESPN+
Ohio at Ohio State · Peacock
Western Michigan at Illinois · FS1
Old Dominion at Virginia Tech · ACC Network
App State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Kentucky · ESPNU
Florida at LSU · ABC
Texas A&M at Notre Dame · NBC
Massachusetts at Iowa · BTN
New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
East Carolina at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Duke at Tulane · ESPN2
Utah at Wyoming · CBSSN
Navy at Tulsa · ESPN+
Akron at UAB · ESPN+
Air Force at Utah State · FS1
Minnesota at California · ESPN
Boston College at Stanford · ACC Network
Texas State at Arizona State · TNT
The rooting list was:Ole Miss, then South Carolina, Washington State, Georgia Southern, Tennessee.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3). How the model works.