#8Ole Miss Rebels

6–1 · 3–1 SEC

In the books

WEEK 9 · 2025

The Week 9 recap

Ole Miss beat Oklahoma. Playoff odds moved from 74% to 79%.

…

…

ABC

playoff chanceEntering74%Win87%Loss53%

Ole Miss

Ole Miss 63%Oklahoma 37%

Oklahoma

Final · Ole Miss 34–26 OklahomaWish granted ✓

By impactBy kickoff

…

…

ABC

Impact 1

Alabama

at

Rooted for

South Carolina

Final · Alabama 29–22 South CarolinaWent the other way ✗

Projected 13.6-point title-game boost

Alabama won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection26% if South Carolina won12% with the other result14-point differenceOle Miss SEC title-game chance

…

…

SEC Network

Impact 2

Texas

at

Rooted for

Mississippi State

Final · Texas 45–38 Mississippi StateWent the other way ✗

Projected 6.5-point title-game boost

Texas won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection20% if Mississippi State won14% with the other result6.5-point differenceOle Miss SEC title-game chance

…

…

ABC

Impact 3

Texas A&M

at

Rooted for

LSU

Final · Texas A&M 49–25 LSUWent the other way ✗

Projected 5.0-point title-game boost

Texas A&M won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection17% if LSU won12% with the other result5-point differenceOle Miss SEC title-game chance

…

…

FS1

Impact 4

Rooted for

Wisconsin

at

Oregon

Final · Wisconsin 7–21 OregonWent the other way ✗

Projected 4.6-point first-round-bye boost

Oregon won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection26% if Wisconsin won21% with the other result4.6-point differenceOle Miss first-round bye chance

…

…

FOX

Impact 5

Rooted for

UCLA

at

Indiana

Final · UCLA 6–56 IndianaWent the other way ✗

Projected 3.5-point first-round-bye boost

Indiana won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection24% if UCLA won21% with the other result3.5-point differenceOle Miss first-round bye chance

…

…

SEC Network

Impact 6

Tennessee

at

Rooted for

Kentucky

Final · Tennessee 56–34 KentuckyWent the other way ✗

Projected 1.7-point playoff boost

Tennessee won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection76% if Kentucky won74% with the other result1.7-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance

46 other games had little impact

Toledo at Washington State · The CW Network

Missouri at Vanderbilt · ESPN

Kennesaw State at Florida International · ESPNU

Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN

Middle Tennessee at Delaware · ESPN2

Missouri State at New Mexico State · CBSSN

South Alabama at Georgia State · ESPN2

North Texas at Charlotte · ESPN2

California at Virginia Tech · ESPN

Boise State at Nevada · CBSSN

Northwestern at Nebraska · FS1

Rutgers at Purdue · BTN

SMU at Wake Forest · The CW Network

Syracuse at Georgia Tech · ESPN

Virginia at North Carolina · ACC Network

Kansas State at Kansas · TNT

App State at Old Dominion · ESPNU

South Florida at Memphis · ESPN2

Bowling Green at Kent State · ESPN+

Ohio at Eastern Michigan · CBSSN

Auburn at Arkansas · SEC Network

Akron at Buffalo · ESPN+

UConn at Rice · ESPN+

Utah State at New Mexico

Illinois at Washington · BTN

Minnesota at Iowa · CBS

NC State at Pittsburgh · ACC Network

BYU at Iowa State · FOX

San Diego State at Fresno State · FS1

UL Monroe at Southern Miss · ESPN+

Florida Atlantic at Navy · CBSSN

Temple at Tulsa · ESPN+

Ball State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+

Massachusetts at Central Michigan · ESPN+

Western Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+

Baylor at Cincinnati · ESPN2

Oklahoma State at Texas Tech · ESPNU

TCU at West Virginia · ESPN+

Stanford at Miami · ESPN

Georgia Southern at Arkansas State · ESPN+

Louisiana at Troy · ESPN+

Michigan at Michigan State · NBC

Boston College at Louisville · ACC Network

Colorado State at Wyoming · CBSSN

Houston at Arizona State · ESPN2

Colorado at Utah · ESPN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9). How the model works.