#4Ole Miss Rebels

5–0 · 3–0 SEC

In the books

WEEK 7 · 2025

The Week 7 recap

Ole Miss beat Washington State. Playoff odds moved from 86% to 80%.

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SEC Network

playoff chanceEntering86%Win86%Loss66%

Washington State

Washington State 2%Ole Miss 98%

Ole Miss

Final · Washington State 21–24 Ole MissWish granted ✓

By impactBy kickoff

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ABC

Impact 1

Georgia

at

Rooted for

Auburn

Final · Georgia 20–10 AuburnWent the other way ✗

Projected 14.3-point title-game boost

Georgia won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection58% if Auburn won44% with the other result14-point differenceOle Miss SEC title-game chance

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ABC

Impact 2

Alabama

at

Rooted for

Missouri

Final · Alabama 27–24 MissouriWent the other way ✗

Projected 5.1-point title-game boost

Alabama won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection50% if Missouri won45% with the other result5.1-point differenceOle Miss SEC title-game chance

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ABC

Impact 3

Rooted for

Oklahoma

at

Texas

Final · Oklahoma 6–23 TexasWent the other way ✗

Projected 3.3-point title-game boost

Texas won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection49% if Oklahoma won45% with the other result3.3-point differenceOle Miss SEC title-game chance

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ESPN

Impact 4

Rooted for

Florida

at

Texas A&M

Final · Florida 17–34 Texas A&MWent the other way ✗

Projected 1.8-point playoff boost

Texas A&M won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection87% if Florida won85% with the other result1.8-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance

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SEC Network

Impact 5

Rooted for

South Carolina

at

LSU

Final · South Carolina 10–20 LSUWent the other way ✗

Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

LSU won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection86% if South Carolina won85% with the other result1.3-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance

50 other games had little impact

Ohio State at Illinois · FOX

Southern Miss at Georgia Southern · ESPN2

Arkansas at Tennessee · SEC Network

Iowa State at Colorado · ESPN

Missouri State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2

Liberty at UTEP · CBSSN

Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State · ESPNU

East Carolina at Tulane · ESPN

Jacksonville State at Sam Houston · CBSSN

South Florida at North Texas · ESPN2

Rutgers at Washington · FS1

Fresno State at Colorado State · CBSSN

UCLA at Michigan State · BTN

Pittsburgh at Florida State · ESPN

Stanford at SMU · The CW Network

UCF at Cincinnati · FS1

Houston at Oklahoma State · TNT

Louisiana at James Madison · ESPN2

Charlotte at Army · CBSSN

Miami (OH) at Akron · ESPN+

Toledo at Bowling Green · ESPNU

Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+

Massachusetts at Kent State · ESPN+

Northwestern at Penn State · FS1

Nebraska at Maryland · BTN

Indiana at Oregon · CBS

Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech · ACC Network

NC State at Notre Dame · Peacock

Wake Forest at Oregon State · The CW Network

TCU at Kansas State · FOX

Air Force at UNLV · CBSSN

App State at Georgia State · ESPN+

Old Dominion at Marshall · ESPN+

Ball State at Western Michigan · ESPN+

Navy at Temple · ESPN2

UAB at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+

Iowa at Wisconsin · FS1

San José State at Wyoming · CBSSN

UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+

Purdue at Minnesota · BTN

Michigan at USC · NBC

Clemson at Boston College · ACC Network

Kansas at Texas Tech · FOX

Rice at UTSA · ESPNU

BYU at Arizona · ESPN2

Troy at Texas State · ESPN+

New Mexico at Boise State · FS1

Arizona State at Utah · ESPN

San Diego State at Nevada · CBSSN

Utah State at Hawai'i

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.