The CFP race

8Oklahoma10–2100%

First round · at the 8 seed

9BYU11–167%

→

1Ohio State12–0100%

Quarterfinal · vs winner of 8/9

5Oregon11–1100%

First round · at the 5 seed

12North Texas11–172%

→

4Texas Tech11–1100%

Quarterfinal · vs winner of 5/12

6Ole Miss11–1100%

First round · at the 6 seed

11Virginia10–253%

→

3Georgia11–1100%

Quarterfinal · vs winner of 6/11

7Texas A&M11–1100%

First round · at the 7 seed

10Notre Dame10–293%

→

2Indiana12–0100%

Quarterfinal · vs winner of 7/10

#24North Texas11–1 · American Athletic▲ +3pp72%

#11BYU11–1 · Big 12▲ +46pp67%

#17Virginia10–2 · ACC▲ +35pp53%

#25James Madison11–1 · Sun Belt▲ +42pp45%

#9Alabama10–2 · SEC▼ −48pp40%

#20Tulane10–2 · American Athletic28%

No game this week moves the national race.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 15, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 15).