๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#3Oregon Ducks

5โ€“0 ยท 2โ€“0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 7 ยท 2025
The Week 7 recap

Oregon lost to Indiana. Playoff odds moved from 89% to 78%.

Your game

Indiana at Oregon
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Big Ten title-game chanceEntering64%Win83%Loss31%
Indiana
Indiana 37%Oregon 63%
Oregon
Final ยท Indiana 30โ€“20 OregonWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Oregon wanted
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Impact 1
Ohio State
at
Rooted for
Illinois
Final ยท Ohio State 34โ€“16 IllinoisWent the other way โœ—
Projected 9.1-point title-game boost

Ohio State won instead, so Oregon did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection72% if Illinois won63% with the other result9.1-point differenceOregon Big Ten title-game chance
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Impact 2
Michigan
at
Rooted for
USC
Final ยท Michigan 13โ€“31 USCWish granted โœ“
Projected 4.2-point title-game boost

Michigan lost, improving Oregon's place in the Big Ten standings.

Entering-week projection65% if USC won61% with the other result4.2-point differenceOregon Big Ten title-game chance
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Impact 3
Alabama
at
Rooted for
Missouri
Final ยท Alabama 27โ€“24 MissouriWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.6-point first-round-bye boost

Alabama won instead, so Oregon did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection56% if Missouri won53% with the other result2.6-point differenceOregon first-round bye chance
52 other games had little impact
Georgia at Auburn ยท ABC
Kansas at Texas Tech ยท FOX
Florida at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
Iowa at Wisconsin ยท FS1
Oklahoma at Texas ยท ABC
Arizona State at Utah ยท ESPN
Missouri State at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN2
Liberty at UTEP ยท CBSSN
Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State ยท ESPNU
East Carolina at Tulane ยท ESPN
Jacksonville State at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Southern Miss at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN2
South Florida at North Texas ยท ESPN2
Rutgers at Washington ยท FS1
Fresno State at Colorado State ยท CBSSN
UCLA at Michigan State ยท BTN
Pittsburgh at Florida State ยท ESPN
Stanford at SMU ยท The CW Network
UCF at Cincinnati ยท FS1
Houston at Oklahoma State ยท TNT
Louisiana at James Madison ยท ESPN2
Charlotte at Army ยท CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Akron ยท ESPN+
Toledo at Bowling Green ยท ESPNU
Washington State at Ole Miss ยท SEC Network
Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan ยท ESPN+
Massachusetts at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Northwestern at Penn State ยท FS1
Nebraska at Maryland ยท BTN
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech ยท ACC Network
NC State at Notre Dame ยท Peacock
Wake Forest at Oregon State ยท The CW Network
Iowa State at Colorado ยท ESPN
TCU at Kansas State ยท FOX
Air Force at UNLV ยท CBSSN
App State at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Western Michigan ยท ESPN+
Navy at Temple ยท ESPN2
Arkansas at Tennessee ยท SEC Network
UAB at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
San Josรฉ State at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
Purdue at Minnesota ยท BTN
Clemson at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Rice at UTSA ยท ESPNU
South Carolina at LSU ยท SEC Network
BYU at Arizona ยท ESPN2
Troy at Texas State ยท ESPN+
New Mexico at Boise State ยท FS1
San Diego State at Nevada ยท CBSSN
Utah State at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:Oregon, then Illinois, USC, Missouri.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.