๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#7Oregon Ducks

9โ€“1 ยท 6โ€“1 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 13 ยท 2025
The Week 13 recap

Oregon beat USC. Playoff odds moved from 70% to 77%.

Your game

USC at Oregon
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playoff chanceEntering70%Win80%Loss34%
USC
USC 22%Oregon 78%
Oregon
Final ยท USC 27โ€“42 OregonWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Oregon wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Rutgers
at
Ohio State
Final ยท Rutgers 9โ€“42 Ohio StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 50.4-point title-game boost

Ohio State won instead, so Oregon did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection62% if Rutgers won12% with the other result50-point differenceOregon Big Ten title-game chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
Kansas State
at
Utah
Final ยท Kansas State 47โ€“51 UtahWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.8-point playoff boost

Utah won instead, so Oregon did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection74% if Kansas State won70% with the other result3.8-point differenceOregon playoff chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Missouri
at
Oklahoma
Final ยท Missouri 6โ€“17 OklahomaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.1-point playoff boost

Oklahoma won instead, so Oregon did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection72% if Missouri won69% with the other result3.1-point differenceOregon playoff chance
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Impact 4
Rooted for
Kentucky
at
Vanderbilt
Final ยท Kentucky 17โ€“45 VanderbiltWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.6-point playoff boost

Vanderbilt won instead, so Oregon did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection72% if Kentucky won70% with the other result2.6-point differenceOregon playoff chance
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Impact 5
BYU
at
Rooted for
Cincinnati
Final ยท BYU 26โ€“14 CincinnatiWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.5-point playoff boost

BYU won instead, so Oregon did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection72% if Cincinnati won69% with the other result2.5-point differenceOregon playoff chance
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Impact 6
Miami
at
Rooted for
Virginia Tech
Final ยท Miami 34โ€“17 Virginia TechWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.1-point playoff boost

Miami won instead, so Oregon did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection72% if Virginia Tech won70% with the other result2.1-point differenceOregon playoff chance
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Impact 7
Rooted for
Washington
at
UCLA
Final ยท Washington 48โ€“14 UCLAWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.8-point playoff boost

Washington won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 14 game against Oregon.

Entering-week projection71% if Washington won69% with the other result1.8-point differenceOregon playoff chance
52 other games had little impact
Michigan at Maryland ยท BTN
Akron at Bowling Green ยท ESPNU
Massachusetts at Ohio ยท CBSSN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Buffalo ยท ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent State ยท ESPNU
Louisiana at Arkansas State ยท ESPN
Florida State at NC State ยท ESPN
Hawai'i at UNLV ยท FS1
Minnesota at Northwestern ยท BTN
Louisville at SMU ยท ESPN2
Delaware at Wake Forest ยท ACC Network
Kansas at Iowa State ยท FS1
Tulsa at Army ยท CBSSN
Charlotte at Georgia ยท SEC Network
Washington State at James Madison ยท ESPN+
Baylor at Arizona ยท TNT
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
Missouri State at Kennesaw State ยท ESPN+
Nevada at Wyoming
Ball State at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Marshall at App State ยท ESPN+
UConn at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Liberty at Louisiana Tech ยท ESPN+
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN+
New Mexico State at UTEP ยท ESPN+
South Florida at UAB ยท ESPN+
Arkansas at Texas ยท ABC
Michigan State at Iowa ยท FS1
Duke at North Carolina ยท ACC Network
Syracuse at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Jacksonville State at Florida International ยท CBSSN
Southern Miss at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
East Carolina at UTSA ยท ESPN+
Tulane at Temple ยท ESPNU
TCU at Houston ยท FOX
Oklahoma State at UCF ยท ESPN+
Georgia State at Troy ยท ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
UL Monroe at Texas State ยท ESPN+
Nebraska at Penn State ยท NBC
Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech ยท ESPN
New Mexico at Air Force ยท CBSSN
Colorado State at Boise State ยท FS1
Tennessee at Florida ยท ABC
Illinois at Wisconsin ยท BTN
California at Stanford ยท ACC Network
North Texas at Rice ยท ESPNU
Western Kentucky at LSU ยท SEC Network
Arizona State at Colorado ยท ESPN2
Utah State at Fresno State ยท CBSSN
San Josรฉ State at San Diego State ยท FS1
The rooting list was:Oregon, then Rutgers, Kansas State, Missouri, Kentucky, Cincinnati, Virginia Tech, Washington.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13). How the model works.