๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#2Oregon Ducks

5โ€“0 ยท 2โ€“0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 6 ยท 2025
The Week 6 recap

Oregon was off. Playoff odds moved from 91% to 89%.

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Oregon wanted
โ€ฆ
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Minnesota
at
Ohio State
Final ยท Minnesota 3โ€“42 Ohio StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 9.6-point title-game boost

Ohio State won instead, so Oregon did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection74% if Minnesota won65% with the other result9.6-point differenceOregon Big Ten title-game chance
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 2
Rooted for
Wisconsin
at
Michigan
Final ยท Wisconsin 10โ€“24 MichiganWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.3-point title-game boost

Michigan won instead, so Oregon did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection68% if Wisconsin won65% with the other result3.3-point differenceOregon Big Ten title-game chance
48 other games had little impact
Miami at Florida State ยท ABC
West Virginia at BYU ยท ESPN
Oklahoma State at Arizona ยท truTV
Washington at Maryland ยท BTN
Sam Houston at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
Western Kentucky at Delaware ยท CBSSN
Charlotte at South Florida ยท ESPN2
New Mexico at San Josรฉ State ยท FS1
Colorado State at San Diego State ยท CBSSN
Kentucky at Georgia ยท ABC
Illinois at Purdue ยท BTN
Boston College at Pittsburgh ยท ACC Network
Clemson at North Carolina ยท ESPN
Kansas State at Baylor ยท ESPN+
Iowa State at Cincinnati ยท ESPN2
Air Force at Navy ยท CBS
Army at UAB ยท ESPNU
Ohio at Ball State ยท CBSSN
Wake Forest at Virginia Tech ยท The CW Network
UTSA at Temple ยท ESPN+
Western Michigan at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Vanderbilt at Alabama ยท ABC
Texas at Florida ยท ESPN
Penn State at UCLA ยท CBS
UL Monroe at Northwestern ยท BTN
Oregon State at App State ยท ESPN+
Virginia at Louisville ยท ESPN2
Syracuse at SMU ยท ACC Network
Boise State at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Florida International at UConn ยท CBSSN
James Madison at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Central Michigan at Akron ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Buffalo ยท ESPN+
Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN+
Kent State at Oklahoma ยท SEC Network
Michigan State at Nebraska ยท FS1
Texas State at Arkansas State ยท ESPNU
Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion ยท ESPN+
Texas Tech at Houston ยท ESPN
UNLV at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
South Alabama at Troy ยท ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Rice ยท ESPN+
Mississippi State at Texas A&M ยท SEC Network
Colorado at TCU ยท FOX
Kansas at UCF ยท ESPN2
Tulsa at Memphis ยท ESPNU
Duke at California ยท ESPN
Nevada at Fresno State ยท CBSSN
The rooting list was:Oregon is off, then Minnesota, Wisconsin.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.