#2Oregon Ducks
5–0 · 2–0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 6 · 2025
64%
Big Ten title game
33%
Win the Big Ten
>99%
Make the playoff
89%
First-round bye
avg seed 2.7
How the week went: playoff odds >99% → >99% · title-game odds 64% → 63%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Oregon's pathBig swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · NBC
Minnesota at #1 Ohio State
Big Ten race: Ohio State losing helps your spot in the standings; Minnesota visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.
Final · Minnesota 3–42 Ohio StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Minnesota+8.1 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · FOX
Wisconsin at #20 Michigan
Big Ten race: Michigan losing helps your spot in the standings; Wisconsin visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.
Final · Wisconsin 10–24 MichiganWent the other way ✗
Root for Wisconsin+2.7 pp title-game odds
…
… · ABC
#3 Miami at #18 Florida State
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Florida State winning protects it.
Final · Miami 28–22 Florida StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida State+3.1 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · CBS
#7 Penn State at UCLA
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and UCLA winning protects it; you already beat Penn State; them losing again keeps them behind you.
Final · Penn State 37–42 UCLAWish granted ✓
Root for UCLA+2.3 pp first-round-bye odds
46 more games that don't move your needle
James Madison at Georgia State · ESPN+
Texas State at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Texas at Florida · ESPN
Sam Houston at New Mexico State · CBSSN
Western Kentucky at Delaware · CBSSN
Charlotte at South Florida · ESPN2
New Mexico at San José State · FS1
West Virginia at BYU · ESPN
Colorado State at San Diego State · CBSSN
Kentucky at Georgia · ABC
Illinois at Purdue · BTN
Boston College at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
Clemson at North Carolina · ESPN
Kansas State at Baylor · ESPN+
Iowa State at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Air Force at Navy · CBS
Army at UAB · ESPNU
Ohio at Ball State · CBSSN
Wake Forest at Virginia Tech · The CW Network
UTSA at Temple · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Oklahoma State at Arizona · truTV
Vanderbilt at Alabama · ABC
Washington at Maryland · BTN
UL Monroe at Northwestern · BTN
Oregon State at App State · ESPN+
Virginia at Louisville · ESPN2
Syracuse at SMU · ACC Network
Boise State at Notre Dame · NBC
Florida International at UConn · CBSSN
Central Michigan at Akron · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Buffalo · ESPN+
Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Kent State at Oklahoma · SEC Network
Michigan State at Nebraska · FS1
Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Texas Tech at Houston · ESPN
UNLV at Wyoming · CBSSN
South Alabama at Troy · ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Rice · ESPN+
Mississippi State at Texas A&M · SEC Network
Colorado at TCU · FOX
Kansas at UCF · ESPN2
Tulsa at Memphis · ESPNU
Duke at California · ESPN
Nevada at Fresno State · CBSSN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6).